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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PASO DE PATRIA / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · PASO DE PATRIA / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU · municipal · MayorPY-12-019-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PASO DE PATRIA / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8ba23b2630f0d2d741c019d4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA TODOS JUNTOS POR PASO DE PATRIA60.1%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO34.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL5.6%
Results for event-905e6ee884ef777b1f1840d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA TODOS JUNTOS POR PASO DE PATRIA · ANTONIO BENJAMIN GOMEZ VELAZCOATPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/202172460.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON NARCISO CACERES COLLANTEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202141434.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · LUIS ROBERTO OJEDA GONZALEZPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021675.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.0%
Results for event-74e4b5f7220ffc490a7e1509
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ROLANDO GREGORIO ARRUA ACEVEDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201559053%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CONSTANCIO GOMEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201552347%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL40.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.0%
Results for event-fb6955bcbd0cf772803e5ac3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ROLANDO GREGORIO ARRUA ACEVEDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201056558.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · FERNANDO DURE AVALOSPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/201039240.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · PEDRO ALBERTO FERNANDEZ AQUINOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010101%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

4.850–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=25.726141078838175, oldest_gap=17.890382626680456, previous_gap=6.019766397124883

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.64percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[34.356846473029044,0,5.560165975103734,0,0,0,60.08298755186722],[53.00988319856244,46.99011680143756,0,0,0,0,0],[58.42812823164426,0,40.5377456049638,0,1.0341261633919339,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[34.356846473029044,0,5.560165975103734,0,0,0,60.08298755186722],[53.00988319856244,46.99011680143756,0,0,0,0,0],[58.42812823164426,0,40.5377456049638,0,1.0341261633919339,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

56.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[34.356846473029044,0,5.560165975103734,0,0,0,60.08298755186722],[53.00988319856244,46.99011680143756,0,0,0,0,0],[58.42812823164426,0,40.5377456049638,0,1.0341261633919339,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PASO DE PATRIA / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-12-019-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.