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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU · municipal · MayorPY-12-015-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d98c053a420b321bd4fe24fb
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.1%
Results for event-27a158ba6e424e069002a21f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FERMIN SINFORIANO CANDIA CHAVEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202198051.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · EIDER EMERITO VERA MOLINASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202190748.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO45.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA0.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.1%
Results for event-3e336f01160f836e16fed012
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · IGNACIO PATRICIO FRETES ACOSTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201592854%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FERMIN SINFORIANO CANDIA CHAVEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201577645.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · GILBERTO MENDEZ GRIMALDIPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015110.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · LIDER RODRIGUEZ GRIMALDIUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201520.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS42.7%
Results for event-e0a9b1d45d21afbcac2b3084
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MAXIMO ROBERTO CHAVEZ PASOTTIANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201087557.3%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ALVER FRANCISCO LUJAN ORTIZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201065242.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

67.810–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.8685744568097533, oldest_gap=14.603798297314995, previous_gap=8.85264997087944

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.06571277159512,51.93428722840488,0,0,0,0,0],[54.04775771694816,45.19510774606872,0,0.6406523005241701,0.11648223645894001,0,0],[57.3018991486575,0,0,0,42.6981008513425,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.06571277159512,51.93428722840488,0,0,0,0,0],[54.04775771694816,45.19510774606872,0,0.6406523005241701,0.11648223645894001,0,0],[57.3018991486575,0,0,0,42.6981008513425,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.06571277159512,51.93428722840488,0,0,0,0,0],[54.04775771694816,45.19510774606872,0,0.6406523005241701,0.11648223645894001,0,0],[57.3018991486575,0,0,0,42.6981008513425,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-12-015-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.