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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-12-015-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-1c6df2b129bd2250291e6e27
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO63.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.9%
Results for event-db3426363eda19286c5c15b8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EIDER EMERITO VERA MOLINASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,19263.1%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FERMIN SINFORIANO CANDIA CHAVEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202169636.9%3Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO39.9%
  • PARTIDO UNACE5.3%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.4%
Results for event-c522a341500943d80810defc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · IGNACIO PATRICIO FRETES ACOSTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201587051.4%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FERMIN SINFORIANO CANDIA CHAVEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201567439.9%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · LIDER RODRIGUEZ GRIMALDIUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015905.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · GILBERTO MENDEZ GRIMALDIPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015573.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS38.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.4%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA20.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO17.3%
Results for event-29c486e372938ebcce97dcf3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ALVER FRANCISCO LUJAN ORTIZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201055838.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201033823.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201029820.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MAXIMO ROBERTO CHAVEZ PASOTTIANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201025017.3%2Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.271186440677965, oldest_gap=15.235457063711909, previous_gap=11.590774689532815

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[63.13559322033898,36.86440677966102,0,0,0,0,0],[51.4488468361916,39.858072146658785,0,3.3707865168539324,5.322294500295683,0,0],[17.31301939058172,23.407202216066484,0,20.63711911357341,38.64265927977839,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[63.13559322033898,36.86440677966102,0,0,0,0,0],[51.4488468361916,39.858072146658785,0,3.3707865168539324,5.322294500295683,0,0],[17.31301939058172,23.407202216066484,0,20.63711911357341,38.64265927977839,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.14percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[63.13559322033898,36.86440677966102,0,0,0,0,0],[51.4488468361916,39.858072146658785,0,3.3707865168539324,5.322294500295683,0,0],[17.31301939058172,23.407202216066484,0,20.63711911357341,38.64265927977839,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LAURELES / ÑEEMBUCU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-12-015-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.