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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HUMAITA / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · HUMAITA / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU · municipal · MayorPY-12-011-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HUMAITA / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b347da5212cb2f5f2f16e4e7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA TODOS POR HUMAITA44.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO35.6%
  • MOV HUMAITA QUERIDO19.6%
Results for event-1adf762f4336d3045b83fa73
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA TODOS POR HUMAITA · JULIO CESAR CABALLERO DURETPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/202176244.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR CASIMIRO BORDOLI BRITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202160735.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV HUMAITA QUERIDO · SAUL DAMIAN CANDIA GODOYMHQparaguay/S82789e1ede/202133419.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.5%
Results for event-abcac98470a3eb8706247564
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR CASIMIRO BORDOLI BRITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201584953.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JULIO CESAR CABALLERO DUREPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201573846.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO55.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.6%
Results for event-c395ce1f05cff36426a0b64e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JULIO CESAR CABALLERO DUREPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201079255.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CAROLINA ELIZABETH BORDOLI BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201063444.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JORGE DURE ALVARENGAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201090.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.70–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.1015854374633, oldest_gap=11.010452961672478, previous_gap=6.994328922495271

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[35.64298297122725,0,0,0,0,0,64.35701702877276],[53.497164461247635,46.502835538752365,0,0,0,0,0],[44.181184668989545,55.19163763066202,0,0,0.627177700348432,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[35.64298297122725,0,0,0,0,0,64.35701702877276],[53.497164461247635,46.502835538752365,0,0,0,0,0],[44.181184668989545,55.19163763066202,0,0,0.627177700348432,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[35.64298297122725,0,0,0,0,0,64.35701702877276],[53.497164461247635,46.502835538752365,0,0,0,0,0],[44.181184668989545,55.19163763066202,0,0,0.627177700348432,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “HUMAITA / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-12-011-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.