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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YPANE / CENTRAL — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YPANE / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-035-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YPANE / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-f6775f2280f2dbeece1ac1df
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.1%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.1%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR0.9%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A0.5%
Results for event-cdc393c11dad5bb504a7ed71
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HORACIO ORTIZ ALBRECHTPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202110,29951.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ROBERTO RAMON RODRIGUEZ BAEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219,13245.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HUGO RAUL VILLALBACNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214142.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR · JOSE GREGORIO RODAS OCAMPOPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211910.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · CARLOS HUGO CANO AGUEROPNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211000.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO53.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.1%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.5%
Results for event-924dc7b1bfacdfc34215861e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HORACIO ORTIZ ALBRECHTPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158,08753.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · NICACIO MARTINEZ VILLAMAYORANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156,25741.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FREDDY ALBERTO AVALOS DELGADOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154723.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · JORGE LAZARO PANIAGUA GALARZAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153822.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD YPANENSE1.3%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU1.2%
Results for event-f86ec4b7219d3189c5d1f9d8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HORACIO ORTIZ ALBRECHTPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,27348%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · NICACIO MARTINEZ VILLAMAYORANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,00945%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ISIDRO RIVAS OJEDAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102322.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · MARCOS MORINIGO MENDOZAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101651.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD YPANENSE · GREGORIO PRIETO BARRIOSMUYPAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101141.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU · JUAN CARLOS ACOSTA ROMEROAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101071.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

63.070–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.795589988081055, oldest_gap=2.9662921348314626, previous_gap=12.041058033951835

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.35160905840286,51.14719904648391,0,0,0,2.0560190703218115,1.4451728247914184],[41.16989077510199,53.210948809053825,0,0,2.5134886169232793,3.105671798920911,0],[45.04494382022472,48.01123595505618,0,0,2.606741573033708,1.202247191011236,3.1348314606741576]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.35160905840286,51.14719904648391,0,0,0,2.0560190703218115,1.4451728247914184],[41.16989077510199,53.210948809053825,0,0,2.5134886169232793,3.105671798920911,0],[45.04494382022472,48.01123595505618,0,0,2.606741573033708,1.202247191011236,3.1348314606741576]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.35160905840286,51.14719904648391,0,0,0,2.0560190703218115,1.4451728247914184],[41.16989077510199,53.210948809053825,0,0,2.5134886169232793,3.105671798920911,0],[45.04494382022472,48.01123595505618,0,0,2.606741573033708,1.202247191011236,3.1348314606741576]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YPANE / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-035-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.