Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YPACARAI / CENTRAL — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YPACARAI / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · Municipal councilPY-11-033-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YPACARAI / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-dc47016c42bc4621f154b70c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.6%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA6.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.1%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.7%
Results for event-c08af02d47881ae3af72f69c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RAUL FERNANDO NEGRETE CABALLEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,00646.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ALEJANDRO CANO GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,58242.6%6Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · MIGUEL ANGEL VILLAGRA ALMADAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216476%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213373.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211881.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO40.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA7.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.1%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.6%
Results for event-b15fac1b2f099575a6316289
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN CARLOS LUIS GALAVERNA ORTEGAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,27643.7%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RAUL FERNANDO NEGRETE CABALLEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,93740.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157357.5%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155946.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152502.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.8%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA8.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.8%
Results for event-99d1a4c734f4c5d2c080640b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RAUL FERNANDO NEGRETE CABALLEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,53844.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ADOLFO WILDBERGER RAMIREZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,30541.8%5Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106848.7%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON VERA LEONUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103784.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

81.510–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.940520446096656, oldest_gap=2.9475015812776704, previous_gap=3.4620098039215677

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[42.58364312267658,46.52416356877323,0,6.0130111524163565,1.7472118959107807,3.1319702602230484,0],[43.66830065359477,40.2062908496732,0,7.506127450980392,2.5531045751633985,6.0661764705882355,0],[41.808981657179004,44.756483238456674,0,8.652751423149905,4.781783681214422,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[42.58364312267658,46.52416356877323,0,6.0130111524163565,1.7472118959107807,3.1319702602230484,0],[43.66830065359477,40.2062908496732,0,7.506127450980392,2.5531045751633985,6.0661764705882355,0],[41.808981657179004,44.756483238456674,0,8.652751423149905,4.781783681214422,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[42.58364312267658,46.52416356877323,0,6.0130111524163565,1.7472118959107807,3.1319702602230484,0],[43.66830065359477,40.2062908496732,0,7.506127450980392,2.5531045751633985,6.0661764705882355,0],[41.808981657179004,44.756483238456674,0,8.652751423149905,4.781783681214422,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YPACARAI / CENTRAL — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-033-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.