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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · Municipal councilPY-11-029-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-bdd6333c66bed84d0018c71f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO56.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO29.8%
  • ALIANZA VILLA ELISA4.9%
  • ALIANZA JOVEN4.1%
  • PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY1.3%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.2%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.9%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A0.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.4%
Results for event-3d284dbaa5d8087a66743eb4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO ADOLFO ESTIGARRIBIA MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202118,02756.7%8Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MIGUEL ANGEL FRETES ALMADAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219,47029.8%4Recorded
ALIANZA VILLA ELISA · JORGE ELIAS RECALDE LEONAVEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,5544.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JOVENAJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,3124.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY · CARLOS DAMIAN CARDOZO ORTEGAPVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214031.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ANGEL TORALES CAÑETEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213741.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONALPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212790.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30APNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212430.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JULIO CESAR DEL ROSARIO GIMENEZ OZUNACNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211130.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO37.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS4.9%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.1%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD1.8%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1.5%
  • PARTIDO INDEPENDIENTE EN ACCION1.0%
Results for event-0520576bcc669aee619cc8ef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO ADOLFO ESTIGARRIBIA MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201510,56044%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO ANTONIO VERON DE ASTRADA PAEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159,11137.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS · JULIO CESAR GARCETE TRIBUCIOPSDHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,1854.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156542.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ROMAN FLORENCIO RIQUELME RAMIREZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155282.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154992.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154531.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD · CELIO RAMON ESTIGARRIBIA GONZALEZPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154411.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · PEDRO JOAQUIN GODOY ALVARENGACJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153521.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO INDEPENDIENTE EN ACCIONPIAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152391%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.6%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA6.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE TODOS POR VILLA ELISA3.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA2.4%
  • FRENTE GUASU1.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO Y POPULAR UNIDAD VILLA ELISA1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTENTICO RENOVADOR VILLA ELISA0.8%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO0.5%
Results for event-f00fc3e825c04129b12fc621
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LIDER SANTIAGO AMARILLA RIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20108,11441.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS CARLOS GAMARRA VELAZQUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20107,55738.6%6Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · KATTYA MABEL GONZALEZ VILLANUEVAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,1876.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LUIS FLORENCIO ROLON OVIEDOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106923.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE TODOS POR VILLA ELISAMITVEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106753.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104792.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · OSCAR OBDULIO ACOSTA MARTINEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102191.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102071.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO Y POPULAR UNIDAD VILLA ELISA · RAFAEL ROLON FRANCOMCPUVEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101871%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTENTICO RENOVADOR VILLA ELISA · MARIA NANCY CANO DE CACERESMARVEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101540.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO · ANASTACIO MIGUEL VILLALBA GALEANOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101040.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

8.740–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.92997639653816, oldest_gap=2.845466155810989, previous_gap=6.03197069353093

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.48percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[29.80330448465775,56.73328088119591,0,0,1.1770259638080252,0.3556254917387884,11.930763178599529],[37.92773291149779,43.95970360502872,1.885771376238448,2.7225043709932564,2.197985180251436,2.077262509366414,9.229040046623929],[38.60536398467433,41.450830140485316,0,6.0638569604086845,3.5351213282247764,1.1187739463601531,9.226053639846743]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[29.80330448465775,56.73328088119591,0,0,1.1770259638080252,0.3556254917387884,11.930763178599529],[37.92773291149779,43.95970360502872,1.885771376238448,2.7225043709932564,2.197985180251436,2.077262509366414,9.229040046623929],[38.60536398467433,41.450830140485316,0,6.0638569604086845,3.5351213282247764,1.1187739463601531,9.226053639846743]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.42percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[29.80330448465775,56.73328088119591,0,0,1.1770259638080252,0.3556254917387884,11.930763178599529],[37.92773291149779,43.95970360502872,1.885771376238448,2.7225043709932564,2.197985180251436,2.077262509366414,9.229040046623929],[38.60536398467433,41.450830140485316,0,6.0638569604086845,3.5351213282247764,1.1187739463601531,9.226053639846743]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-029-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.