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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

J. AUGUSTO SALDIVAR / CENTRAL — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · J. AUGUSTO SALDIVAR / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-011-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
J. AUGUSTO SALDIVAR / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-4d46aefc3fea7a7eaeee923b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO53.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO22.7%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR JAS21.7%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE SI SE PUEDE2.2%
Results for event-47433716b48163c08f8253cf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DIEGO DAVID ALONSO GALEANOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202111,10953.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAFAEL BENITEZ ROLONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,73122.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR JAS · DAVID SANCHEZ APUDUJASparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,51121.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE SI SE PUEDE · ROLANDO ROMAN FERNANDEZ MORINIGOSSPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214582.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO57.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO35.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.9%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.7%
Results for event-06482d052b086a25f53d11f8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DANIEL BAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157,17257.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · FRANCISCO FABIO RIVEROS AVALOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,44535.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · IRENEO DUARTE ARCEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153672.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN VICENTE INSAURRALDE GODOYPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152512%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · EVER VICTOR BRASSELFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152111.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO63.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO30.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.4%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO2.2%
Results for event-f0076abbcd2de19541ac413f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DANIEL BAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20105,06163.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ANTONIO BARRIOS AGUILERAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,42430.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · WILLIAN FABIAN SANCHEZ AYALAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102713.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO · JUAN VICENTE INSAURRALDE GODOYPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101742.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.65019943293767, oldest_gap=33.25346784363178, previous_gap=21.910654025389682

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[22.735354894516796,53.385554327454464,0,0,0,0,23.879090778028736],[35.714285714285715,57.6249397396754,2.0167121966896997,0,2.9487385505383257,1.695323798810863,0],[30.56746532156368,63.82093316519546,0,0,3.4174022698612863,0,2.1941992433795714]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[22.735354894516796,53.385554327454464,0,0,0,0,23.879090778028736],[35.714285714285715,57.6249397396754,2.0167121966896997,0,2.9487385505383257,1.695323798810863,0],[30.56746532156368,63.82093316519546,0,0,3.4174022698612863,0,2.1941992433795714]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[22.735354894516796,53.385554327454464,0,0,0,0,23.879090778028736],[35.714285714285715,57.6249397396754,2.0167121966896997,0,2.9487385505383257,1.695323798810863,0],[30.56746532156368,63.82093316519546,0,0,3.4174022698612863,0,2.1941992433795714]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “J. AUGUSTO SALDIVAR / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-011-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.