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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ITAUGUA / CENTRAL — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ITAUGUA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ITAUGUA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-7d80bee65f993caa239af133
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.3%
Results for event-6a8313b3565ef60e4c1ff4df
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HORACIO DANIEL FERNANDEZ MORINIGOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202120,41052.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIGUEL ANGEL MEZA ACOSTAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202118,28347.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO54.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.6%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.1%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS0.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO0.3%
Results for event-1311f6fbda89ee842ed90b6a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIGUEL ANGEL MEZA ACOSTAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201513,76254.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ENRIQUE JAVIER NOGUERA MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201510,98443.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CATALINO ORTIZ CABRALFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152801.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · GLADIS ZUNILDA ESCOBAR MARTINEZCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151260.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · OSCAR ANTONIO TORALESPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015690.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO65.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO29.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA1.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO0.7%
Results for event-a0b1c0b8f023f47890a52534
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS ALBERTO SALINAS TANASIOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201010,81865.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ADOLFO DIONISIO YEGROS ALDAMAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,83029.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ROQUE CAÑETE LOPEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106383.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · ENRIQUE DUARTE BENITEZPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101931.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · EMILIO CENTURION LUCASPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101200.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

48.950–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.497118341818933, oldest_gap=36.07446231700705, previous_gap=11.014630664922095

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.748559170909466,47.251440829090534,0,0,0,0,0],[43.55100907973514,54.56563974465723,0,0,0,1.1101859561476548,0.7731652194599739],[29.098138442074823,65.17260075908187,0,0,3.8436050364479786,0,1.885655762395325]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.748559170909466,47.251440829090534,0,0,0,0,0],[43.55100907973514,54.56563974465723,0,0,0,1.1101859561476548,0.7731652194599739],[29.098138442074823,65.17260075908187,0,0,3.8436050364479786,0,1.885655762395325]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.748559170909466,47.251440829090534,0,0,0,0,0],[43.55100907973514,54.56563974465723,0,0,0,1.1101859561476548,0.7731652194599739],[29.098138442074823,65.17260075908187,0,0,3.8436050364479786,0,1.885655762395325]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ITAUGUA / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.