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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ITA / CENTRAL — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ITA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-007-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ITA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-a5f014752c4ef97d563dc1a7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO50.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.6%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.4%
Results for event-895148dfe0d35827390eb292
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE LUIS DIMARTINOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202115,19250%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ENRIQUE JAVIER PEREIRA THALMANNANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202114,76448.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · ENZO ANIBAL GOMEZPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214201.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO53.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.4%
Results for event-91637ba7e9b62421ef866629
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GLORIA VICENTA BENITEZ DE CANTEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201514,04953%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN ELISEO BAEZ CHAVEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201512,35746.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ESTANISLAO CARBALLO CAÑIZAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151100.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.0%
  • FRENTE GUASU0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA0.1%
Results for event-3372777973f1cb49d09790de
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FIDEL CLEMENTE LEON SOSAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201010,65251.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · IGNACIO EUSEBIO CARDENAS DOLDANANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20109,57046.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JUSTO ROJAS ESCOBARUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102001%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · CELSO BAZANFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101440.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA · BASILICIO JULIAN AMARILLA PORTILLOMPSRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010120.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

83.570–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4090071108770061, oldest_gap=5.25804256973467, previous_gap=6.381052949162772

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

3.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.60416117987885,50.01316829075586,0,0,0,0,1.3826705293652883],[46.60205159149193,52.9831045406547,0,0,0.4148438678533716,0,0],[46.50597725726504,51.76401982699971,0,0,0.9719117504130625,0.699776460297405,0.05831470502478375]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.60416117987885,50.01316829075586,0,0,0,0,1.3826705293652883],[46.60205159149193,52.9831045406547,0,0,0.4148438678533716,0,0],[46.50597725726504,51.76401982699971,0,0,0.9719117504130625,0.699776460297405,0.05831470502478375]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.60416117987885,50.01316829075586,0,0,0,0,1.3826705293652883],[46.60205159149193,52.9831045406547,0,0,0.4148438678533716,0,0],[46.50597725726504,51.76401982699971,0,0,0.9719117504130625,0.699776460297405,0.05831470502478375]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ITA / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-007-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.