Office briefing
GUARAMBARE / CENTRAL — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · GUARAMBARE / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · Municipal councilPY-11-005-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- GUARAMBARE / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5c7df70f7e7c2bbc518dce5e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO67.2%
- ALIANZA GUARAMBARE28.1%
- PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD2.7%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.1%
- PARTIDO HAGAMOS1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR ESTEBAN CABRERA NARVAEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 7,790 | 67.2% | 9 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA GUARAMBARE · SERGIO FEDERICO ZARATE BARRIOS | AGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,257 | 28.1% | 3 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD | PJparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 313 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · ROBERTO CARLOS MENDOZA MAIDANA | PNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 123 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO HAGAMOS | PPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 115 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO46.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO21.0%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL9.4%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.2%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A7.2%
- PARTIDO UNACE6.1%
- CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS2.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE ASUNCION VALLEJOS SERVIN | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,428 | 46% | 6 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO ADRIAN VALLEJOS MIRANDA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,562 | 21% | 3 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 702 | 9.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 608 | 8.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A | MDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 538 | 7.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 457 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS | CJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 151 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO31.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.5%
- CONCERTACION GUARAMBAREÑOS UNIDOS PARA EL CAMBIO17.1%
- FRENTE INDEPENDIENTE GUARAMBARE CAMBIA12.0%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL10.9%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR ESTEBAN CABRERA NARVAEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,278 | 31.1% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · VICTOR LORENZO MORINIGO FRETEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,725 | 23.5% | 3 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION GUARAMBAREÑOS UNIDOS PARA EL CAMBIO | CGUPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,251 | 17.1% | 2 | Recorded |
| FRENTE INDEPENDIENTE GUARAMBARE CAMBIA | FIGCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 883 | 12% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 801 | 10.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · NINFA FATIMA MIRANDA MENDOZA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 395 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=39.08432488360063, oldest_gap=7.54125187508523, previous_gap=25.06043513295729
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility44.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[67.16675288842904,0,0,0,0,0,32.83324711157096],[46.038141283910825,20.977706150953534,9.427880741337631,0,6.137523502551706,8.16545796400752,9.253290357238786],[31.06504841129142,23.52379653620619,10.923223782899223,0,5.386608482203736,0,29.101322787399425]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility23.89percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[67.16675288842904,0,0,0,0,0,32.83324711157096],[46.038141283910825,20.977706150953534,9.427880741337631,0,6.137523502551706,8.16545796400752,9.253290357238786],[31.06504841129142,23.52379653620619,10.923223782899223,0,5.386608482203736,0,29.101322787399425]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility34.3percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[67.16675288842904,0,0,0,0,0,32.83324711157096],[46.038141283910825,20.977706150953534,9.427880741337631,0,6.137523502551706,8.16545796400752,9.253290357238786],[31.06504841129142,23.52379653620619,10.923223782899223,0,5.386608482203736,0,29.101322787399425]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “GUARAMBARE / CENTRAL — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.