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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AREGUA / CENTRAL — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · AREGUA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · Municipal councilPY-11-000-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AREGUA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-167ce484a8c0fb8a05e128b9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO33.5%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A4.9%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.1%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.4%
  • PARTIDO PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA1.3%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA0.9%
Results for event-bab7b77f6d2068355a9c38e8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO DENIS TORRES FLEYTASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202113,39253.7%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE ADALBERTO ROLON FIGUEREDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218,35733.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · TRIGIDIO INSFRAN RODASPNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,2144.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · YENNIFER YOHANA GALEANO MORELUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215572.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215152.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213601.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA · OSCAR GABRIEL RUIZ DIAZ ACOSTAPPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213171.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212190.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO30.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU7.8%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO UNION Y PROGRESO3.9%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.9%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.0%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS POR AREGUA1.5%
  • PARTIDO UNACE1.2%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1.1%
Results for event-5ee9fb8be15e0407aa778878
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO DENIS TORRES FLEYTASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158,26744.9%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS ALBERTO MERCEDES VILLALBA JARAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155,54830.1%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,4347.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHUPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158434.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNION Y PROGRESOMUPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157243.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155362.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153642%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS POR AREGUACJAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152751.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · JUAN RAMON CABAÑAS ROJASUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152131.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152021.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO30.0%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESISTA AREGUEÑA8.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL7.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.8%
  • AMANECER AREGUEÑO5.3%
  • FRENTE GUASU2.1%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA1.0%
Results for event-d01b3641c34b75ddaeb7ae99
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CESAR OSVALDO LEIVA CABALLEROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20105,12738.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS ALBERTO MERCEDES VILLALBA JARAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,96730%4Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESISTA AREGUEÑAAPAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,0628%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,0077.6%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MAURICIO BARTOLOME DIAZ DELMASUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20107725.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AMANECER AREGUEÑOAAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106945.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102822.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · FRANCISCO FLORENCIAÑEZPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101641.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · JOSE MARIA BERNAL PAREDESPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101351%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

12.860–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.195740243070873, oldest_gap=8.78122634367903, previous_gap=14.772356840160818

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.716256868958325,33.52051662588745,0,0,2.2341662989851994,2.065701335686495,8.463358870482532],[44.91470172769749,30.142344887536673,2.9120938824296423,1.9776159947843095,1.157231337607302,7.79093773769423,11.105074432250353],[38.8115064345193,30.03028009084027,0,0,5.844057532172597,2.1347464042392126,23.179409538228615]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.716256868958325,33.52051662588745,0,0,2.2341662989851994,2.065701335686495,8.463358870482532],[44.91470172769749,30.142344887536673,2.9120938824296423,1.9776159947843095,1.157231337607302,7.79093773769423,11.105074432250353],[38.8115064345193,30.03028009084027,0,0,5.844057532172597,2.1347464042392126,23.179409538228615]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.716256868958325,33.52051662588745,0,0,2.2341662989851994,2.065701335686495,8.463358870482532],[44.91470172769749,30.142344887536673,2.9120938824296423,1.9776159947843095,1.157231337607302,7.79093773769423,11.105074432250353],[38.8115064345193,30.03028009084027,0,0,5.844057532172597,2.1347464042392126,23.179409538228615]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “AREGUA / CENTRAL — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-000-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.