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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN CRISTOBAL / ALTO PARANA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN CRISTOBAL / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · MayorPY-10-029-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN CRISTOBAL / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c27c60cf378c70f459604646
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO25.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA16.4%
Results for event-d4061399bf501135e8c1055d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · VALCIR ROBERTO PELIZZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,32558%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GUIDO AVEL AYALA CORONELPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,46125.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · MARCELO ZOCCHE MENEGONPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/202194216.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.2%
Results for event-8440cad706c83fb7ba3ca167
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ILDEFONZO SANTANDER GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,90851.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · WALTER RAUL RUIZ MACIELANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,77648.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO59.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.9%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.6%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA0.5%
Results for event-6c8a82bd1c52f1764133f279
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ILDEFONZO SANTANDER GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,48259.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CELSO WIDILFO KATRIP ESTECHEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201096338.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · EVER ADOLFO ROJAS FERNANDEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010160.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DERLIS ANTONIO MARTINEZ CARDOZOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010130.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=32.54189944134078, oldest_gap=20.978172999191592, previous_gap=3.583061889250814

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[58.0481843575419,25.506284916201118,0,16.445530726256983,0,0,0],[48.20846905537459,51.79153094462541,0,0,0,0,0],[38.9248181083266,59.90299110751819,0,0,0.6467259498787389,0,0.5254648342764754]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[58.0481843575419,25.506284916201118,0,16.445530726256983,0,0,0],[48.20846905537459,51.79153094462541,0,0,0,0,0],[38.9248181083266,59.90299110751819,0,0,0.6467259498787389,0,0.5254648342764754]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[58.0481843575419,25.506284916201118,0,16.445530726256983,0,0,0],[48.20846905537459,51.79153094462541,0,0,0,0,0],[38.9248181083266,59.90299110751819,0,0,0.6467259498787389,0,0.5254648342764754]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN CRISTOBAL / ALTO PARANA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-029-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.