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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MINGA PORA / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MINGA PORA / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-10-019-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MINGA PORA / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-71fd26b32356a64334c49c31
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO37.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU10.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA9.8%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA3.7%
  • PARTIDO HAGAMOS3.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS1.1%
Results for event-d722b847c85aa0cbb5d85228
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE RAMON OJEDA OCAMPOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,31437.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CLEMENTINO PORTILLO ORTIZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,17534.9%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/202162710.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216109.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212283.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO HAGAMOS · ROBERTO CARLOS ORTIZ NUÑEZPPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212063.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS · PABLO ROTELAPSDHparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021681.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO30.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO22.7%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA14.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU9.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A8.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE7.9%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU3.6%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA2.5%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES1.1%
Results for event-01c607f8843192c5102a2d2d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CLEMENTINO PORTILLO ORTIZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,56430.6%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELVIO SOSAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,16022.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201571714%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154759.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA AMDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154318.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · NINFA ESTELA DELVALLEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154057.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHUPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151843.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151292.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORESPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015541.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO34.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.4%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA15.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS12.9%
  • FRENTE GUASU9.0%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4.6%
Results for event-5013ee0fb82a14a632afc7a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELVIO SOSAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,19734.5%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CLEMENTINO PORTILLO ORTIZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201081323.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · JOSE SMANIOTTOPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201053915.5%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201044812.9%1Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · JUAN BAUTISTA CHAVEZ CARDOZOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103119%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES · TOMAS RIVAS RAMOSPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101614.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

75.930–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.2318561335902416, oldest_gap=11.069472470452585, previous_gap=7.89216643875757

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[37.154784842646116,34.922928709055874,0,9.794476557482337,0,10.067437379576107,8.060372511239564],[22.66067591326431,30.55284235202188,0,14.00664192225044,7.911701504200039,9.279156085172886,15.588982223090447],[34.505621216488905,23.43614874603632,0,15.537618910348804,12.914384548861344,8.965119631017584,4.641106947247045]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[37.154784842646116,34.922928709055874,0,9.794476557482337,0,10.067437379576107,8.060372511239564],[22.66067591326431,30.55284235202188,0,14.00664192225044,7.911701504200039,9.279156085172886,15.588982223090447],[34.505621216488905,23.43614874603632,0,15.537618910348804,12.914384548861344,8.965119631017584,4.641106947247045]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.02percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[37.154784842646116,34.922928709055874,0,9.794476557482337,0,10.067437379576107,8.060372511239564],[22.66067591326431,30.55284235202188,0,14.00664192225044,7.911701504200039,9.279156085172886,15.588982223090447],[34.505621216488905,23.43614874603632,0,15.537618910348804,12.914384548861344,8.965119631017584,4.641106947247045]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MINGA PORA / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-019-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.