Office briefing
MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · MayorPY-10-017-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-e91cb24b9f5777220b197153
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOV CONCIENCIA DEMOCRATICA MINGUERA44.2%
- PARTIDO COLORADO37.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.5%
- MOV OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS2.0%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.0%
- PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOV CONCIENCIA DEMOCRATICA MINGUERA · DIEGO AMILCAR RIOS LLANO | CDMparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 13,625 | 44.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNO CABALLERO RUIZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 11,432 | 37.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GILBERTO ZAPATTINI ORUE | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 4,772 | 15.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOV OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS · SANTIAGO LOPEZ | OPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 602 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · GUMERCINDA CORONEL | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 295 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · FERMIN GONZALEZ | PCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 116 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO62.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.1%
- MOVIMIENTO OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS4.3%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA4.1%
- PARTIDO UNACE2.8%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.7%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNO CABALLERO RUIZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 11,397 | 62% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIGUEL ANGEL FERNANDEZ FLEITAS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 4,242 | 23.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS · SANTIAGO LOPEZ | OPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 798 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · GUSTAVO RAMON MERCADO ZARATE | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 745 | 4.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · FRANCISCO JAVIER MARTINEZ GALLINAR | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 510 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HERIBERTO GARCETE PORTILLO | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 499 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO · PEDRO ROMERO GIMENEZ | POICHOparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 192 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO61.3%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.6%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA3.3%
- FRENTE GUASU0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNO CABALLERO RUIZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 8,010 | 61.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CESAR WALDINO SEGOVIA AGUILERA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 4,521 | 34.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DOMINGO ALVAREZ AGUERO | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 427 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE GUASU · RICARDO ANSELMO BARRIOS SANTACRUZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 102 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI6.930–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.110433824006229, oldest_gap=26.71516079632466, previous_gap=38.92182995158571
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility38.02percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[37.066338110368974,15.47240775565787,0.9564879061020686,0,0,0,46.50476622787108],[61.99749768808138,23.075667736495674,0,0,2.7743023445574715,2.71446445085133,9.438067780014144],[61.332312404287904,34.617151607963244,0,0,0,0.781010719754977,3.2695252679938744]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility11.54percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[37.066338110368974,15.47240775565787,0.9564879061020686,0,0,0,46.50476622787108],[61.99749768808138,23.075667736495674,0,0,2.7743023445574715,2.71446445085133,9.438067780014144],[61.332312404287904,34.617151607963244,0,0,0,0.781010719754977,3.2695252679938744]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility24.78percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[37.066338110368974,15.47240775565787,0.9564879061020686,0,0,0,46.50476622787108],[61.99749768808138,23.075667736495674,0,0,2.7743023445574715,2.71446445085133,9.438067780014144],[61.332312404287904,34.617151607963244,0,0,0,0.781010719754977,3.2695252679938744]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-017-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.