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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MBARACAYU / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MBARACAYU / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-10-015-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MBARACAYU / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-21425766bdfc173ba4d13558
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.1%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL4.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.0%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.0%
Results for event-164419f323f7920d332daba0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · NANCI MARISSA ALGARIN MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,71654%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FRANCISCO GABRIEL GAYOSO RODRIGUEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,08434.1%5Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211534.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211284%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021943%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.1%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO29.3%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL6.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.1%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.6%
Results for event-9c7091a1daeceb5ed1133da4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EDIR EDUAR LERMEN RITTERPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,06951.1%7Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · NANCI MARISSA ALGARIN MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201561329.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · ANTONIO VARGAS ESPINOLAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151436.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151266%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · EDGAR GUSTAVO FERNANDEZ RAMOSFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015864.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · CESAR MARTINEZ ESTIGARRIBIAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015542.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA16.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO15.0%
  • FRENTE GUASU11.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS9.1%
Results for event-56413028ac2e847d874e7ba0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EDIR EDUAR LERMEN RITTERPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201074247.4%6Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · CARLOS FONSECA FARIÑAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201026116.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · PRISCO VILLAR GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201023415%2Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · JULIAN CARDOZO SILGUEROFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201018511.8%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101439.1%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.905511811023622, oldest_gap=30.73482428115016, previous_gap=21.8077474892396

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.04724409448819,34.14173228346457,4.818897637795276,0,2.9606299212598426,4.031496062992126,0],[29.31611669057867,51.12386417981827,6.838833094213295,0,2.582496413199426,4.112864658058346,6.025824964131994],[14.952076677316294,47.412140575079874,0,0,9.13738019169329,11.821086261980831,16.677316293929714]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.04724409448819,34.14173228346457,4.818897637795276,0,2.9606299212598426,4.031496062992126,0],[29.31611669057867,51.12386417981827,6.838833094213295,0,2.582496413199426,4.112864658058346,6.025824964131994],[14.952076677316294,47.412140575079874,0,0,9.13738019169329,11.821086261980831,16.677316293929714]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.04724409448819,34.14173228346457,4.818897637795276,0,2.9606299212598426,4.031496062992126,0],[29.31611669057867,51.12386417981827,6.838833094213295,0,2.582496413199426,4.112864658058346,6.025824964131994],[14.952076677316294,47.412140575079874,0,0,9.13738019169329,11.821086261980831,16.677316293929714]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MBARACAYU / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-015-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.