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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ITAKYRY / ALTO PARANA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ITAKYRY / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · MayorPY-10-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ITAKYRY / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8b6d8abbd91fd6eebc1e789e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.3%
  • ALIANZA ITAKYRY PRIMERO34.8%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS23.9%
Results for event-2c38683cc8c2cc3a254630a2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MIGUEL ANGEL SORIA RIVASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,61841.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA ITAKYRY PRIMERO · LUIS CARLOS ACOSTA FONSECAAIPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,89434.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS · VICTOR RAMON GAMARRA VILLARAJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,67923.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA36.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO0.5%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO0.3%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.2%
Results for event-004c143846d1079cd0122b82
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS MIGUEL SORIA CASCOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,09043.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · BERNARDO JOAQUIN ACOSTA DUARTEPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,62236.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ESTEBAN CHAVEZ LOPEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,35719%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO · CRECENCIO PINTOS VILLARPOICHOparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015350.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO · MARIO RENE ALDERETE PEÑAP_MASparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015190.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ANDRES ABELINO KARAJALLO VILLALBAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015120.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.2%
  • FRENTE GUAZU6.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.5%
Results for event-a86ab3054e1acbf64338eecc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUGO BERNARDINO BARRETO VILLALBAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,09452.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE LUIS ACOSTA GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,43841.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUAZU · PURISIMO CONCEPCION GULLON COLMANFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103646.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BERNARDO ROA SORIAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010280.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

65.220–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.4694844071128585, oldest_gap=11.073598919648887, previous_gap=6.559215136650316

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[41.265302475203285,0,0,0,0,0,58.73469752479671],[43.30763840224247,19.018920812894184,0,0,0.16818500350385424,0,37.505255781359494],[52.22822417285618,41.15462525320729,0,0,0.4726536124240378,0,6.144496961512491]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[41.265302475203285,0,0,0,0,0,58.73469752479671],[43.30763840224247,19.018920812894184,0,0,0.16818500350385424,0,37.505255781359494],[52.22822417285618,41.15462525320729,0,0,0.4726536124240378,0,6.144496961512491]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[41.265302475203285,0,0,0,0,0,58.73469752479671],[43.30763840224247,19.018920812894184,0,0,0.16818500350385424,0,37.505255781359494],[52.22822417285618,41.15462525320729,0,0,0.4726536124240378,0,6.144496961512491]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ITAKYRY / ALTO PARANA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.