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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

DR. RAUL PEÑA / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · DR. RAUL PEÑA / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-10-002-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DR. RAUL PEÑA / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-15a382c62c5cdd9c65ab08f6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO37.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA7.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL3.6%
Results for event-f052d926dec3c8ffac53f6c9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN CARLOS LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,45546.1%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GUSTAVO JAVIER CANO BARRIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,16937%4Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212507.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211695.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211153.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO27.5%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA12.5%
  • PARTIDO UNACE6.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.4%
Results for event-327ccb38f71cdb3d3ae8d76e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CELIA ZARATE DE DETTENBORNANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,20549.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GUSTAVO JAVIER CANO BARRIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201566827.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201530412.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151466%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151074.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2013-02-17

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
  • Partido Liberal Radical Auténticounknown
  • Unión Nacional de Ciudadanos Éticosunknown
Results for event-a2b7a9e7e4373643b595eac6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido ColoradoANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2013UnknownUnknown4Recorded
Partido Liberal Radical AuténticoPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2013UnknownUnknown3Recorded
Unión Nacional de Ciudadanos ÉticosUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2013UnknownUnknown2Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.056364787840401, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=22.098765432098762

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[46.0734642178594,37.017099430019,3.641545281823939,7.916402786573781,0,5.351488283723876,0],[49.58847736625514,27.48971193415638,0,0,6.008230452674897,4.403292181069959,12.510288065843621],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[46.0734642178594,37.017099430019,3.641545281823939,7.916402786573781,0,5.351488283723876,0],[49.58847736625514,27.48971193415638,0,0,6.008230452674897,4.403292181069959,12.510288065843621],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[46.0734642178594,37.017099430019,3.641545281823939,7.916402786573781,0,5.351488283723876,0],[49.58847736625514,27.48971193415638,0,0,6.008230452674897,4.403292181069959,12.510288065843621],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “DR. RAUL PEÑA / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-002-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.