Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · MayorPY-09-031-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-959e9bb1ffb8abdece28ff39
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO54.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.1%
Results for event-8e898bcf8aaca30a3ba9eb35
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CASIMIRO NESTOR GONZALEZ MORENOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,99254.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · DENIS ADALBERTO VERA GIMENEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,63645.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO53.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.5%
Results for event-09462b15dfb005a16a63ad19
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CASIMIRO NESTOR GONZALEZ MORENOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,77453.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ANDRES GASTON BURGOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,53946.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.9%
Results for event-6babf3204106981820ac64bd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CASIMIRO NESTOR GONZALEZ MORENOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,19251.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERMINIO DAVID CUELLAR GARAYANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,08747.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RICARDO ZELAYA SAMUDIOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010200.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.640–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.812568908489524, oldest_gap=4.56720313179644, previous_gap=7.093268940537271

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.09371554575524,54.90628445424476,0,0,0,0,0],[46.453365529731364,53.546634470268636,0,0,0,0,0],[47.281426707264025,51.848629839060465,0,0,0.8699434536755111,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.09371554575524,54.90628445424476,0,0,0,0,0],[46.453365529731364,53.546634470268636,0,0,0,0,0],[47.281426707264025,51.848629839060465,0,0,0.8699434536755111,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.09371554575524,54.90628445424476,0,0,0,0,0],[46.453365529731364,53.546634470268636,0,0,0,0,0],[47.281426707264025,51.848629839060465,0,0,0.8699434536755111,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-031-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.