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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · Municipal councilPY-09-031-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-ca64acc6aaec3010fafc8b53
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO56.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.0%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.3%
Results for event-3eb8366a8d76dfd689c59872
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DENIS ADALBERTO VERA GIMENEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,06256.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CASIMIRO NESTOR GONZALEZ MORENOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,52942%4Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021481.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL11.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA7.5%
Results for event-7a152b9c9ecf0d9c65f79fe8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ANDRES GASTON BURGOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,40444.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CASIMIRO NESTOR GONZALEZ MORENOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,15436.4%4Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/201537011.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152397.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO35.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS13.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA9.1%
Results for event-a98d859cc129d3737860b225
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERMINIO DAVID CUELLAR GARAYANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201096642.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CASIMIRO NESTOR GONZALEZ MORENOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201080335.3%3Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RICARDO ZELAYA SAMUDIOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201029613%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102079.1%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

40.630–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.646881011266828, oldest_gap=7.174295774647888, previous_gap=7.8939059046416205

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[56.66391865897224,42.017037647705415,1.3190436933223413,0,0,0,0],[44.33217556046732,36.4382696558257,11.682980738869592,0,0,0,7.546574044837386],[42.517605633802816,35.34330985915493,0,0,13.028169014084508,0,9.110915492957746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[56.66391865897224,42.017037647705415,1.3190436933223413,0,0,0,0],[44.33217556046732,36.4382696558257,11.682980738869592,0,0,0,7.546574044837386],[42.517605633802816,35.34330985915493,0,0,13.028169014084508,0,9.110915492957746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[56.66391865897224,42.017037647705415,1.3190436933223413,0,0,0,0],[44.33217556046732,36.4382696558257,11.682980738869592,0,0,0,7.546574044837386],[42.517605633802816,35.34330985915493,0,0,13.028169014084508,0,9.110915492957746]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YBYTYMI / PARAGUARI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-031-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.