Office briefing
YAGUARON / PARAGUARI — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · YAGUARON / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · MayorPY-09-027-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- YAGUARON / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-a28a0473708d140663ef3222
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO58.7%
- PARTIDO COLORADO40.1%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS GILBERTO RODRIGUEZ LUGO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 8,869 | 58.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · INOCENCIO CUEVAS RUIZ DIAZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 6,055 | 40.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · ALBERTO SOSA VERA | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 179 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO60.9%
- PARTIDO COLORADO39.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS GILBERTO RODRIGUEZ LUGO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 7,983 | 60.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON JAVIER GARAY | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 5,133 | 39.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO49.5%
- PARTIDO COLORADO45.3%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CECILIO ARZAMENDIA VERA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 4,914 | 49.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · INOCENCIO CUEVAS RUIZ DIAZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 4,499 | 45.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARIANO CHAPARRO ORTIZ | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 520 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI9.420–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.632059855657815, oldest_gap=4.177992550085577, previous_gap=21.729185727355897
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility2.14percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.0913725749851,58.723432430642916,1.185194994371979,0,0,0,0],[39.13540713632205,60.86459286367795,0,0,0,0,0],[45.29346622369878,49.471458773784356,0,0,5.235075002516863,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility11.39percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.0913725749851,58.723432430642916,1.185194994371979,0,0,0,0],[39.13540713632205,60.86459286367795,0,0,0,0,0],[45.29346622369878,49.471458773784356,0,0,5.235075002516863,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility6.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.0913725749851,58.723432430642916,1.185194994371979,0,0,0,0],[39.13540713632205,60.86459286367795,0,0,0,0,0],[45.29346622369878,49.471458773784356,0,0,5.235075002516863,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “YAGUARON / PARAGUARI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-027-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.