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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YAGUARON / PARAGUARI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YAGUARON / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · Municipal councilPY-09-027-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YAGUARON / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c2f8ee6676354b01557c1d01
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO49.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.9%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL3.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.8%
Results for event-b4868b3bd52fe89308f7c5e0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS GILBERTO RODRIGUEZ LUGOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20217,50049.7%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · INOCENCIO CUEVAS RUIZ DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,77144.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · ALBERTO SOSA VERAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214633.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212291.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211270.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO37.1%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL7.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.1%
  • PARTIDO UNACE3.9%
Results for event-c1ac81152dc807f736503df3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS GILBERTO RODRIGUEZ LUGOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155,87847.2%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON JAVIER GARAYANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,61737.1%5Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159587.7%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155164.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154893.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO45.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.8%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.6%
Results for event-e57843fd93d5313ae4177854
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CECILIO ARZAMENDIA VERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,40545%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · INOCENCIO CUEVAS RUIZ DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,36844.6%6Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARIANO CHAPARRO ORTIZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106676.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103573.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

70.140–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.831013916500993, oldest_gap=0.37766663264264366, previous_gap=10.122009953443566

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[44.87077534791253,49.70178926441352,3.0682571239231278,1.5175612988734262,0,0.8416169648774022,0],[37.06052335848451,47.182533311928076,7.68983785519345,0,3.9251886338096003,4.141916840584363,0],[44.58507706440747,44.962743697050115,0,3.643972644687149,6.808206593855262,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.05percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[44.87077534791253,49.70178926441352,3.0682571239231278,1.5175612988734262,0,0.8416169648774022,0],[37.06052335848451,47.182533311928076,7.68983785519345,0,3.9251886338096003,4.141916840584363,0],[44.58507706440747,44.962743697050115,0,3.643972644687149,6.808206593855262,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[44.87077534791253,49.70178926441352,3.0682571239231278,1.5175612988734262,0,0.8416169648774022,0],[37.06052335848451,47.182533311928076,7.68983785519345,0,3.9251886338096003,4.141916840584363,0],[44.58507706440747,44.962743697050115,0,3.643972644687149,6.808206593855262,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YAGUARON / PARAGUARI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-027-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.