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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MBUYAPEY / PARAGUARI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MBUYAPEY / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · Municipal councilPY-09-013-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MBUYAPEY / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d86b2a32be033f76de76b2d8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO66.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO33.3%
Results for event-3f41379d3bb1f6c00d116add
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS CARLOS ROJAS ORTIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,35266.7%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FELIPE SANTIAGO BAREIRO ORTIZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,67533.3%3Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO40.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.6%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS POR MBUYAPEY11.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE11.2%
Results for event-a947df4a16f3a36bceda8759
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS ALBERTO APONTE GUERREROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,07740.4%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS CARLOS LEDEZMA AGUEROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,88136.6%3Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS POR MBUYAPEYCJMparaguay/S82789e1ede/201560211.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201557811.2%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO45.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO37.3%
  • FRENTE GUASU DE MBUYAPEY11.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.4%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.0%
Results for event-c6ea4cd065645fc9cf793aa2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANA CONCEPCION DELVALLE DE APONTEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,81245.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VALENTIN FLORENTIN SANCHEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,49037.3%4Recorded
FRENTE GUASU DE MBUYAPEY · CANDIDO VILLANUEVA JURADOFGMparaguay/S82789e1ede/201044211.1%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · FELIX FAUSTINO FRANCO MARTINEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101353.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · DELIO RAFAEL DUARTE SANCHEZPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101203%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.35985677342351, oldest_gap=8.052013003250813, previous_gap=3.8147138964577607

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[66.67992838671175,33.32007161328824,0,0,0,0,0],[36.60957571039315,40.42428960685091,0,0,11.24951342934994,0,11.716621253405995],[37.259314828707176,45.31132783195799,0,3.000750187546887,3.3758439609902475,0,11.0527631907977]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[66.67992838671175,33.32007161328824,0,0,0,0,0],[36.60957571039315,40.42428960685091,0,0,11.24951342934994,0,11.716621253405995],[37.259314828707176,45.31132783195799,0,3.000750187546887,3.3758439609902475,0,11.0527631907977]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[66.67992838671175,33.32007161328824,0,0,0,0,0],[36.60957571039315,40.42428960685091,0,0,11.24951342934994,0,11.716621253405995],[37.259314828707176,45.31132783195799,0,3.000750187546887,3.3758439609902475,0,11.0527631907977]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MBUYAPEY / PARAGUARI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-013-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.