Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MARIA ANTONIA / PARAGUARI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MARIA ANTONIA / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · Municipal councilPY-09-012-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MARIA ANTONIA / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-5bf86238da3cdd0cfde0b3c0
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.9%
  • ALIANZA MARIA ANTONIA PARA TODOS32.0%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA14.1%
Results for event-22fd996210c48420051c6f57
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS CARLOS LEDEZMA AGUEROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,27953.9%5Recorded
ALIANZA MARIA ANTONIA PARA TODOS · PEDRO PENAYO OTAZUTPMAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202176132%3Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/202133514.1%1Recorded

2017-03-26

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
  • Partido Revolucionario Febreristaunknown
Results for event-de654f46a4ca5d23b14c8e5c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido ColoradoANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2017UnknownUnknown5Recorded
Partido Revolucionario FebreristaPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/2017UnknownUnknown4Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.810526315789474, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.85263157894737,0,0,0,0,0,46.14736842105263],null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.85263157894737,0,0,0,0,0,46.14736842105263],null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.85263157894737,0,0,0,0,0,46.14736842105263],null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MARIA ANTONIA / PARAGUARI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-012-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.