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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · MayorPY-09-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c1e76fd2b0866680a8439e4e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO79.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO11.0%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO9.3%
Results for event-401c8e035a2fbfca2091cf05
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · TOMAS ANTONIO MERELES CANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,17879.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELVIO RAMON VELAZQUEZ RUIZ DIAZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202130011%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO · FRANCISCO GIMENEZPFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212539.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.5%
Results for event-4b76a1f7f977cc9be7801c98
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · TOMAS ANTONIO MERELES CANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,90257.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANICETO MARTINEZ GALEANOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,40742.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO68.6%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA16.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO11.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.3%
Results for event-a1352addd6b2a8b34f34486c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN TOMAS MERELES ROLONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,61668.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ROBERTO CANO PRIETOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201038616.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NESTOR EDUARDO SANTANDER OJEDAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201027511.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LUISA RAMONA OLMEDO DE ESCOBARUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010773.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=68.76601977297693, oldest_gap=52.25148683092608, previous_gap=14.95920217588396

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[79.75100695715855,10.984987184181618,0,0,0,0,9.264005858659832],[57.47960108794198,42.52039891205802,0,0,0,0,0],[68.64910790144435,11.682242990654206,0,0,3.2710280373831777,0,16.397621070518266]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[79.75100695715855,10.984987184181618,0,0,0,0,9.264005858659832],[57.47960108794198,42.52039891205802,0,0,0,0,0],[68.64910790144435,11.682242990654206,0,0,3.2710280373831777,0,16.397621070518266]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[79.75100695715855,10.984987184181618,0,0,0,0,9.264005858659832],[57.47960108794198,42.52039891205802,0,0,0,0,0],[68.64910790144435,11.682242990654206,0,0,3.2710280373831777,0,16.397621070518266]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.