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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · Municipal councilPY-09-009-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b1c867ddd74abc0effd71740
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO83.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.1%
Results for event-09a8b11620a46489ee261e4c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · TOMAS ANTONIO MERELES CANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,42483.2%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELVIO RAMON VELAZQUEZ RUIZ DIAZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202145815.7%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021331.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE5.5%
Results for event-0257f693b5ad789a3940a70a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · TOMAS ANTONIO MERELES CANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,82457.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANICETO MARTINEZ GALEANOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,15836.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151745.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.5%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA17.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO13.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS10.7%
Results for event-26ed48e392335dbd21a40c5f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN TOMAS MERELES ROLONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,36558.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ROBERTO CANO PRIETOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201040217.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NESTOR EDUARDO SANTANDER OJEDAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201031813.6%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LUISA RAMONA OLMEDO DE ESCOBARUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201024910.7%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=67.4442538593482, oldest_gap=41.25964010282776, previous_gap=21.10266159695818

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[83.15608919382504,15.711835334476843,0,0,0,1.1320754716981132,0],[57.79467680608365,36.69201520912547,0,0,5.513307984790875,0,0],[58.48329048843188,13.624678663239074,0,0,10.668380462724937,0,17.223650385604113]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[83.15608919382504,15.711835334476843,0,0,0,1.1320754716981132,0],[57.79467680608365,36.69201520912547,0,0,5.513307984790875,0,0],[58.48329048843188,13.624678663239074,0,0,10.668380462724937,0,17.223650385604113]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[83.15608919382504,15.711835334476843,0,0,0,1.1320754716981132,0],[57.79467680608365,36.69201520912547,0,0,5.513307984790875,0,0],[58.48329048843188,13.624678663239074,0,0,10.668380462724937,0,17.223650385604113]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GRAL. BERNARDINO CABALLERO / PARAGUARI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-009-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.