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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ESCOBAR / PARAGUARI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ESCOBAR / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · Municipal councilPY-09-007-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ESCOBAR / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-82b4303f014501c21fceb23b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO91.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO8.6%
Results for event-581f72af8a0071f68d37c179
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MARIA CRISTINA ESPINOLA FRANCOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,74491.4%9Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212578.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO63.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO27.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.7%
Results for event-829ee3780d6c686044693fff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELVIO REINERIO RUIZ DIAZ FLORENTINANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,10763.6%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201548227.7%3Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151528.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO61.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS20.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO10.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA8.1%
Results for event-1836382ae54e5fd05005542a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OVIDIO JUSTO BURGOS RAMIREZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,19061%6Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JUAN DE LA CRUZ BAEZ BAREIROUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201040320.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RUPERTO BRITEZ SANCHEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201020010.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · RUBEN OCAMPOS ESPINOLAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101588.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=82.87237587470844, oldest_gap=40.33828805740646, previous_gap=35.89890867317634

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[91.43618793735422,8.563812062645784,0,0,0,0,0],[63.584147041929924,27.68523836875359,0,0,0,8.730614589316485,0],[60.99436186570989,10.251153254741158,0,0,20.656073808303436,0,8.098411071245515]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[91.43618793735422,8.563812062645784,0,0,0,0,0],[63.584147041929924,27.68523836875359,0,0,0,8.730614589316485,0],[60.99436186570989,10.251153254741158,0,0,20.656073808303436,0,8.098411071245515]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[91.43618793735422,8.563812062645784,0,0,0,0,0],[63.584147041929924,27.68523836875359,0,0,0,8.730614589316485,0],[60.99436186570989,10.251153254741158,0,0,20.656073808303436,0,8.098411071245515]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ESCOBAR / PARAGUARI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-007-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.