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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CARAPEGUA / PARAGUARI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CARAPEGUA / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · MayorPY-09-005-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CARAPEGUA / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-71e7882f320282ba2e973d49
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.5%
  • ALIANZA ÑAMOPU A CARAPEGUA41.4%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD11.1%
Results for event-26da3b79d0c87bd129d117ca
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUCIANO CAÑETE GALEANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20217,03847.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA ÑAMOPU A CARAPEGUA · JUAN AURELIO BOBADILLA SANCHEZAÑCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,13541.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD · NELSI CONCEPCION GONZALEZ GENEZPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,63711.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO59.9%
  • ALIANZA CARAPEGUA EN EL CORAZON40.1%
Results for event-3a493d324236a8aea6a3c0e5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUCIANO CAÑETE GALEANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157,16159.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA CARAPEGUA EN EL CORAZON · ELADIO CONCEPCION RAMIREZ TORRESACCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,79840.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO35.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS33.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO28.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.2%
Results for event-dc71b9ee031593a2528aecd9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ISABELINO SILVA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,05935%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JULIO ALBERTO VIRGILI PAEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,91633.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · SIMON CESARINO BENITEZ CENTURIONPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,31428.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JOAQUIN WILFRIDO BLANCO NOGUERAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101691.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · LILIANA BRITEZ DE ROLÓNPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101441.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

51.450–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.097231600270085, oldest_gap=1.2325461127391861, previous_gap=19.75917718872816

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.5219446320054,0,0,0,0,0,52.4780553679946],[59.87958859436408,0,0,0,0,0,40.12041140563592],[34.9853473539045,28.564040682640925,0,1.2411653163247716,33.752801241165315,0,1.4566454059644889]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.5219446320054,0,0,0,0,0,52.4780553679946],[59.87958859436408,0,0,0,0,0,40.12041140563592],[34.9853473539045,28.564040682640925,0,1.2411653163247716,33.752801241165315,0,1.4566454059644889]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.5219446320054,0,0,0,0,0,52.4780553679946],[59.87958859436408,0,0,0,0,0,40.12041140563592],[34.9853473539045,28.564040682640925,0,1.2411653163247716,33.752801241165315,0,1.4566454059644889]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CARAPEGUA / PARAGUARI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-005-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.