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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI · municipal · MayorPY-09-000-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c9fc054cd4867cc158444a9e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO73.6%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL14.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO11.9%
Results for event-1c451380f7427ffbdb6e4686
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MARCELO ARIEL SIMBRON PINTOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,79873.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · VICTOR MANUEL PAREDES PEDROZOPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,34714.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARLOS JAVIER BENITEZ MIRANDAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,09511.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO68.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA23.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE4.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO4.0%
Results for event-4c8ea395a7e5414527c8814f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LILIAN LORENA BURGOS DE BARUJAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155,14168.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · TITO CRISPIN MARTINEZ LEMIRPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,76623.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · AGUSTIN BRIZUELA SANCHEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153234.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARLOS MOISES TORRESPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153034%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO64.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO18.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS10.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.3%
  • FRENTE GUASU2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.7%
Results for event-ed387d0219a0d8a16e507009
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN CARLOS BARUJA FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,78564.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GILBERTO LUIS RUFFINELLI MAIDANAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,07018.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JULIO CESAR ROMAN RIOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201061410.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · LIDER EFRAIN GONZALEZ RIVEROSPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101923.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · CAROLINA EDITA BARRIOS AYALAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101432.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · IGNACIO RAFAEL VILLALBA ACOSTAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010430.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=58.99350649350649, oldest_gap=46.43406875320677, previous_gap=44.80286738351255

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[73.57142857142857,11.85064935064935,14.577922077922079,0,0,0,0],[68.24638258330015,4.022301871764237,0,0,4.287800345148016,0,23.4435151997876],[64.73405165041902,18.299982897212246,0,3.283735248845562,10.501111681204037,2.4456986488797674,0.7354198734393707]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[73.57142857142857,11.85064935064935,14.577922077922079,0,0,0,0],[68.24638258330015,4.022301871764237,0,0,4.287800345148016,0,23.4435151997876],[64.73405165041902,18.299982897212246,0,3.283735248845562,10.501111681204037,2.4456986488797674,0.7354198734393707]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[73.57142857142857,11.85064935064935,14.577922077922079,0,0,0,0],[68.24638258330015,4.022301871764237,0,0,4.287800345148016,0,23.4435151997876],[64.73405165041902,18.299982897212246,0,3.283735248845562,10.501111681204037,2.4456986488797674,0.7354198734393707]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PARAGUARI / PARAGUARI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-09-000-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.