Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA ROSA / MISIONES — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SANTA ROSA / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · MayorPY-08-011-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA ROSA / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-5f356bf72cea3b63b405ae55
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA GANAR SANTA ROSA52.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.0%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.9%
Results for event-0a1dc9445ce2285b0e849a99
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA GANAR SANTA ROSA · RUBEN ALFONSO JACQUET GODOYAGSRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,21652%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MARTINA FERNANDEZ BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,71547%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · ARIEL MACIEL TORRESPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021920.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO50.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE ROSEÑO EN ACCION0.2%
Results for event-3ead8f77710b23d6dc244b6a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ARNALDO AGUSTIN VALDEZ NOGUERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,67950.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · DIANA MARIA AQUINO RAMIREZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,49648.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · PABLO BAEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015981.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE ROSEÑO EN ACCION · JESUS TADEO ACEVEDO GALEANOMIRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015190.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA5.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.0%
  • ALIANZA SANTARROSEÑA0.8%
  • CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU ROSEÑO0.4%
Results for event-ac4b16ae6ef978797581deff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ARNALDO AGUSTIN VALDEZ NOGUERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,34847.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN SANTIAGO FRETES QUIÑONEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,04443.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · HORACIO CRISTOBAL SEGOVIA RAMIREZPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103565.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ELADIO INSAURRALDE CHAVEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010901.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · WALBERTO CARDOZO ACUÑAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010711%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA SANTARROSEÑA · CARLOS ORTELLADO MEZAASparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010540.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU ROSEÑO · HUGO ENRIQUE AYALA VERONCFGRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010270.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

79.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.998503442083205, oldest_gap=4.349070100143059, previous_gap=1.9694360740421928

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

52.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.041803851142376,0,0,0,0,0,52.958196148857624],[48.38570813603099,50.355144210073185,0,0,0,1.0546706844597504,0.20447696943607405],[43.54792560801145,47.896995708154506,0,5.0929899856938485,1.2875536480686696,0,2.1745350500715306]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.041803851142376,0,0,0,0,0,52.958196148857624],[48.38570813603099,50.355144210073185,0,0,0,1.0546706844597504,0.20447696943607405],[43.54792560801145,47.896995708154506,0,5.0929899856938485,1.2875536480686696,0,2.1745350500715306]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.041803851142376,0,0,0,0,0,52.958196148857624],[48.38570813603099,50.355144210073185,0,0,0,1.0546706844597504,0.20447696943607405],[43.54792560801145,47.896995708154506,0,5.0929899856938485,1.2875536480686696,0,2.1745350500715306]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA ROSA / MISIONES — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-011-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.