Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA MARIA / MISIONES — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SANTA MARIA / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · MayorPY-08-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA MARIA / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-432262e300f45ab55c135367
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO88.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO POR SANTA MARIA DE FE12.0%
Results for event-b3de0069c3af38b1c2be3b3a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON ALBERTO SANABRIA RUIZ DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,91488%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO POR SANTA MARIA DE FE · RAUL ALBERTO VAZQUEZ GIMENEZAPCSMparaguay/S82789e1ede/202153412%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO63.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO33.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.1%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.3%
Results for event-4780f7f87005ea6ecf9e88b9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON ALBERTO SANABRIA RUIZ DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,34863.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LIDER GERONIMO MAIDANA VALENZUELAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,22233.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · BERNABE MARTINEZ CUENCAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151133.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · FRANCISCO ALEGREUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015110.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO50.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.2%
Results for event-3e61aa5f3ecd7f1d2b42048a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DAMIAN JOEL GARCIA ROAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,59650.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MARTIN REGALADO CANTERO MONTENEGROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,54649.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LEONARDO MARTIRES VILLA AVALOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201050.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=75.98920863309351, oldest_gap=1.5888147442008247, previous_gap=30.4818624796968

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[87.99460431654676,0,0,0,0,0,12.005395683453237],[63.56253383865728,33.08067135896048,0,0,0.2977801840822956,3.059014618299946,0],[49.12615189068955,50.714966634890374,0,0,0.15888147442008263,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[87.99460431654676,0,0,0,0,0,12.005395683453237],[63.56253383865728,33.08067135896048,0,0,0.2977801840822956,3.059014618299946,0],[49.12615189068955,50.714966634890374,0,0,0.15888147442008263,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[87.99460431654676,0,0,0,0,0,12.005395683453237],[63.56253383865728,33.08067135896048,0,0,0.2977801840822956,3.059014618299946,0],[49.12615189068955,50.714966634890374,0,0,0.15888147442008263,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA MARIA / MISIONES — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.