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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA MARIA / MISIONES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SANTA MARIA / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-08-009-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA MARIA / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-ade9fb6a1a90e53cfbdd1148
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO83.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO POR SANTA MARIA DE FE12.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.8%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.3%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.2%
Results for event-db0dbc40f7093e70c23e1fe2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON ALBERTO SANABRIA RUIZ DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,82883.5%11Recorded
ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO POR SANTA MARIA DE FE · RAUL ALBERTO VAZQUEZ GIMENEZAPCSMparaguay/S82789e1ede/202156112.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021811.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021611.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021541.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO59.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO28.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU10.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE1.0%
Results for event-af242dc77b87bafc3a77db6b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON ALBERTO SANABRIA RUIZ DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,16259.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LIDER GERONIMO MAIDANA VALENZUELAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,04628.8%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · BERNABE MARTINEZ CUENCAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201538710.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · FRANCISCO ALEGREUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015381%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.6%
Results for event-df51c89ee2eb6322b3bd05d8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MARTIN REGALADO CANTERO MONTENEGROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,46546.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DAMIAN JOEL GARCIA ROAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,46446.7%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LEONARDO MARTIRES VILLA AVALOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102086.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=71.25408942202836, oldest_gap=0.03187759005419366, previous_gap=30.718414533443433

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[83.4896401308615,0,1.3304252998909487,1.7666303162486368,0,0,13.413304252998909],[59.510046793283784,28.791632259840352,0,0,1.0459675199559593,10.6523534269199,0],[46.70066942939114,46.66879183933695,0,0,6.6305387312719155,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[83.4896401308615,0,1.3304252998909487,1.7666303162486368,0,0,13.413304252998909],[59.510046793283784,28.791632259840352,0,0,1.0459675199559593,10.6523534269199,0],[46.70066942939114,46.66879183933695,0,0,6.6305387312719155,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[83.4896401308615,0,1.3304252998909487,1.7666303162486368,0,0,13.413304252998909],[59.510046793283784,28.791632259840352,0,0,1.0459675199559593,10.6523534269199,0],[46.70066942939114,46.66879183933695,0,0,6.6305387312719155,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA MARIA / MISIONES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-009-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.