Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN PATRICIO / MISIONES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN PATRICIO / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-08-007-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN PATRICIO / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-6f0e17d25a3352677197fa13
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.3%
  • ALIANZA TODOS POR SAN PATRICIO49.3%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.5%
Results for event-e1db53434b6a1ef4c6b7309a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ALDO ANICETO BENITEZ CRISTALDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,68849.3%5Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS POR SAN PATRICIO · LIDER FABIAN ALMADAACPSTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,68749.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021501.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA TODOS POR SAN PATRICIO54.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.4%
Results for event-54644894ca3e362b6b714e9d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA TODOS POR SAN PATRICIO · LIDER FABIAN ALMADAATSPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,44454.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE IGNACIO CRISTALDO ROTELAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,20245.4%4Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO27.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO UNIDAD CIUDADANA20.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA9.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.6%
Results for event-f5a673473f58d206d4cae444
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO DAVID ZARZA PEREIRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201072536.9%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · SILVIO MANUEL CRISTALDO OLMEDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201053227.1%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO UNIDAD CIUDADANA · PERLA GLADYS BENITEZ DE VILLARMUCparaguay/S82789e1ede/201041120.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101869.5%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101115.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

81.280–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.0291970802919721, oldest_gap=9.821882951653947, previous_gap=9.145880574452008

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.284671532846716,0,1.4598540145985401,0,0,0,49.25547445255474],[45.427059712773996,0,0,0,0,0,54.572940287226004],[36.895674300254456,27.07379134860051,0,0,5.648854961832061,0,30.38167938931298]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.284671532846716,0,1.4598540145985401,0,0,0,49.25547445255474],[45.427059712773996,0,0,0,0,0,54.572940287226004],[36.895674300254456,27.07379134860051,0,0,5.648854961832061,0,30.38167938931298]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.02percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.284671532846716,0,1.4598540145985401,0,0,0,49.25547445255474],[45.427059712773996,0,0,0,0,0,54.572940287226004],[36.895674300254456,27.07379134860051,0,0,5.648854961832061,0,30.38167938931298]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN PATRICIO / MISIONES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-007-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.