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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN MIGUEL / MISIONES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN MIGUEL / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-08-005-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN MIGUEL / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-a4199b7cd64887d323c55be8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO85.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO8.8%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL4.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.7%
Results for event-b73397a5ed73d9c426dce5f6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELVINA HILARIA GONZALEZ DE DIAZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,54985.1%9Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE ANTONIO MARTINEZ ROMEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212648.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211304.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021511.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO60.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU17.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.5%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL9.7%
Results for event-fa60cabce86ff9a2bdb4e6c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JULIO CESAR RAMIREZ JACQUETANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,21960.7%6Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201534217%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ROBERTO MARCELINO GIMENEZ ZORRILLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201525112.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151959.7%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO67.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS8.4%
Results for event-ea8bf7ed3c5c84544fe518dc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · VENANCIO DIAZ ESCOBARANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,15467.5%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · AQUILE ADALBERTO AYALA CORVALANPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201041224.1%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101438.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=76.3193052772211, oldest_gap=43.41720304271503, previous_gap=43.69706028898854

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[85.1369405477622,8.817635270541082,4.342017368069472,0,0,1.7034068136272544,0],[60.73741903338316,12.506228201295466,9.715994020926756,0,0,17.04035874439462,0],[67.52486834406085,24.107665301345815,0,0,8.36746635459333,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[85.1369405477622,8.817635270541082,4.342017368069472,0,0,1.7034068136272544,0],[60.73741903338316,12.506228201295466,9.715994020926756,0,0,17.04035874439462,0],[67.52486834406085,24.107665301345815,0,0,8.36746635459333,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[85.1369405477622,8.817635270541082,4.342017368069472,0,0,1.7034068136272544,0],[60.73741903338316,12.506228201295466,9.715994020926756,0,0,17.04035874439462,0],[67.52486834406085,24.107665301345815,0,0,8.36746635459333,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN MIGUEL / MISIONES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.