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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AYOLAS / MISIONES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · AYOLAS / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-08-001-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AYOLAS / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-f61634a3e8db48ed9870a769
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO77.6%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR AYOLAS19.1%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.3%
Results for event-029aa059a073d09fe3319668
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ALBERTO DUARTE GUTIERREZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,56877.6%10Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR AYOLAS · EUGENIO ESTEBAN GARCIA ESTECHEAUPAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,62019.1%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212803.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU21.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO11.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA6.9%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS5.0%
  • PARTIDO UNACE4.2%
Results for event-6d968a1dc2418da6c377c2f7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ALBERTO DUARTE GUTIERREZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,37851%7Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · UBALDA RAMONA VELAZQUEZ MERELESFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,39421%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201578411.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · JORGELINA IGNACIA CANDIA DE VALDEZPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154586.9%1Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153345%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152794.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.6%
  • ALIANZA TEKO SOLIDARIO8.6%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO PATRIOTICO POPULAR8.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO7.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL6.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.5%
Results for event-64f53fed32c603e53440fd4e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · NELSON SEBASTIAN DELVALLE ENRIQUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,56346.5%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARMEN DORA BAREIRO DE BENZAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,08019.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA TEKO SOLIDARIOATSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104748.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104518.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO · JORGELINA IGNACIA CANDIA DE VALDEZAPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103977.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103586.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ROSALIA ALICIA BARRETO DE HEREBIAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101933.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=58.431743032593296, oldest_gap=26.8854242204496, previous_gap=29.938131884714046

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[77.56258856872934,0,0,0,3.3065658951346246,0,19.130845536136043],[50.973291081937525,11.830390825411197,0,0,4.210049796287913,21.03515919722348,11.951109099139881],[46.464829586657,19.579405366207396,0,0,3.4989122552574328,0,30.456852791878173]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[77.56258856872934,0,0,0,3.3065658951346246,0,19.130845536136043],[50.973291081937525,11.830390825411197,0,0,4.210049796287913,21.03515919722348,11.951109099139881],[46.464829586657,19.579405366207396,0,0,3.4989122552574328,0,30.456852791878173]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[77.56258856872934,0,0,0,3.3065658951346246,0,19.130845536136043],[50.973291081937525,11.830390825411197,0,0,4.210049796287913,21.03515919722348,11.951109099139881],[46.464829586657,19.579405366207396,0,0,3.4989122552574328,0,30.456852791878173]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “AYOLAS / MISIONES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-001-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.