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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN JUAN BAUTISTA / MISIONES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN JUAN BAUTISTA / MISIONES / MISIONES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-08-000-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN JUAN BAUTISTA / MISIONES / MISIONES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-621aa40e2bc34f6b7453622f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.8%
  • ALIANZA TODOS POR SAN JUAN40.2%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL3.2%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE TODOS POR SAN JUAN MISIONES1.1%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A0.8%
Results for event-55369aa6e9e81eb97cad34dd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE LUIS BENITEZ HEREBIAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,35954.8%7Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS POR SAN JUAN · TOMAS EDULFO RIQUELME ALDERETEATSJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,66040.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · DAVID DIOSNEL ANTONIO DOMINGUEZ FERREIRAPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213743.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE TODOS POR SAN JUAN MISIONESMITOSJUMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211241.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30APNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021890.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO45.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.4%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA7.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.8%
Results for event-703c3c7c763318a6ba826c15
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN CARLOS MEZA MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,37045.6%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · RICHARD ROLANDO RAMIREZ RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,86940.4%5Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156907.2%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · LUIS MIGUEL KRUSSEL LLANOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156536.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.6%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO4.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.2%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA2.8%
Results for event-b23b788b3c064301d81c729a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CORINA FRANCISCA FALCON ARRUAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,85047%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN CARLOS MEZA MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,49242.6%6Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103554.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LUIS HORACIO FERNANDEZ ALMADAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102613.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102332.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

46.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.63897983801482, oldest_gap=4.370650714198511, previous_gap=5.228553537883528

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.79062553851456,0,0,0,0,0,45.20937446148544],[40.377791692757256,45.606345230640784,0,7.201001878522229,0,6.814861198079733,0],[47.00280795995605,42.63215724575754,0,0,3.186424124038579,0,7.178610670247833]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.79062553851456,0,0,0,0,0,45.20937446148544],[40.377791692757256,45.606345230640784,0,7.201001878522229,0,6.814861198079733,0],[47.00280795995605,42.63215724575754,0,0,3.186424124038579,0,7.178610670247833]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.79062553851456,0,0,0,0,0,45.20937446148544],[40.377791692757256,45.606345230640784,0,7.201001878522229,0,6.814861198079733,0],[47.00280795995605,42.63215724575754,0,0,3.186424124038579,0,7.178610670247833]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JUAN BAUTISTA / MISIONES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-08-000-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.