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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TRINIDAD / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · TRINIDAD / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-055-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TRINIDAD / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d7c40b686247a3877e7db77e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO71.6%
  • ALIANZA TRINIDAD ÑANEMBA E16.3%
  • PARTIDO HAGAMOS10.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LA A2.0%
Results for event-59d3877481c07674128e2766
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ISAAC AGUILAR CUELLAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,80671.6%9Recorded
ALIANZA TRINIDAD ÑANEMBA E · CRESCENCIO RAMON WILLIAMS ROJASATÑparaguay/S82789e1ede/202163916.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO HAGAMOS · LIDIO TIMOTEO CABRERAPPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/202139810.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA A · SANTA SABINA ORREGO ZARZAPDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021782%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO68.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO22.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA4.8%
  • PARTIDO UNACE4.6%
Results for event-c4e49a319dc4c1bb30346664
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARISTIDES AGUILAR CUELLAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,72168.6%9Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · SENON CACERES DUARTEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201555222%3Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151204.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151164.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA22.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.4%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA5.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL2.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.1%
Results for event-9f5f54740228df33261c7e1f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARISTIDES AGUILAR CUELLAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,15251.5%7Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA · OSVALDO RAMON VERA VERAMPSRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201051022.8%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · OSCAR EVERIO NUÑEZ MOLASPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201034515.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101315.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · ORLANDO BENITEZ GIMENEZM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010522.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LILIANA ELIZABETH IRALA GYSINUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010462.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=55.26651364447845, oldest_gap=28.71198568872988, previous_gap=46.59226783579115

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[71.56337668962,0,0,0,0,0,28.436623310380007],[68.59306496612196,22.00079713033081,0,4.782781984854524,4.623355918692706,0,0],[51.52057245080501,15.429338103756708,0,5.858676207513417,2.0572450805008944,0,25.13416815742397]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[71.56337668962,0,0,0,0,0,28.436623310380007],[68.59306496612196,22.00079713033081,0,4.782781984854524,4.623355918692706,0,0],[51.52057245080501,15.429338103756708,0,5.858676207513417,2.0572450805008944,0,25.13416815742397]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[71.56337668962,0,0,0,0,0,28.436623310380007],[68.59306496612196,22.00079713033081,0,4.782781984854524,4.623355918692706,0,0],[51.52057245080501,15.429338103756708,0,5.858676207513417,2.0572450805008944,0,25.13416815742397]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TRINIDAD / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-055-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.