Office briefing
SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-051-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-63ceef79a59b7ae9fc5dbed5
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO54.6%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.7%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.4%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS BENITEZ BENITEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 4,248 | 54.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELICER LOPEZ BRITEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,319 | 42.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · GLADYS AMALIA DEJESUS DE SANTANDER | PNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 109 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DERLIS FERNANDO ZOTELO ESCURRA | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 100 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.9%
- PARTIDO COLORADO43.8%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU7.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GLADYS MARICEL RIVAROLA AQUINO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,549 | 48.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS BENITEZ BENITEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,178 | 43.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HECTOR RAMON ZOTELO LUGO | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 536 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.5%
- PARTIDO COLORADO33.5%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA14.1%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.6%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELICER LOPEZ BRITEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,614 | 46.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · ELADIO RUIZ ALVARENGA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,884 | 33.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA · MANUEL TORRES ROJAS | MPSRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 794 | 14.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON DARIO FERNANDEZ GIMENEZ | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 257 | 4.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · GLADYS AMALIA DEJESUS DE SANTANDER | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 70 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI500–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.947016460905346, oldest_gap=12.991635522334931, previous_gap=5.108082059754928
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.56percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.629629629629626,42.68261316872428,0,0,0,0,2.6877572016460904],[43.756023681674236,48.864105741429164,0,0,0,7.379870576896599,0],[33.52909770421783,46.520733226552764,0,0,4.573767574301477,0,15.376401494927924]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility19.95percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.629629629629626,42.68261316872428,0,0,0,0,2.6877572016460904],[43.756023681674236,48.864105741429164,0,0,0,7.379870576896599,0],[33.52909770421783,46.520733226552764,0,0,4.573767574301477,0,15.376401494927924]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility16.76percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.629629629629626,42.68261316872428,0,0,0,0,2.6877572016460904],[43.756023681674236,48.864105741429164,0,0,0,7.379870576896599,0],[33.52909770421783,46.520733226552764,0,0,4.573767574301477,0,15.376401494927924]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-051-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.