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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-051-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d93f8c22c51513b96f7f3857
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.9%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.8%
Results for event-9ca8fac42ce033709625a35a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS BENITEZ BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,09852.6%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELICER LOPEZ BRITEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,26641.9%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211511.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · GLADYS AMALIA DEJESUS DE SANTANDERPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211371.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DERLIS FERNANDO ZOTELO ESCURRAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211371.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU10.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.7%
Results for event-ef3f31e0f39d0242afd0f8c6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS BENITEZ BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,05143.4%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GLADYS MARICEL RIVAROLA AQUINOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,04143.3%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HECTOR RAMON ZOTELO LUGOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201574310.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151922.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO40.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO32.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA13.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS7.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA3.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.0%
Results for event-2e7534e4d9ba4c7105c143fd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELICER LOPEZ BRITEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,24140.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELADIO RUIZ ALVARENGAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,78932.3%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA · MANUEL TORRES ROJASMPSRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201074613.5%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON DARIO FERNANDEZ GIMENEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104037.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · GLADYS AMALIA DEJESUS DE SANTANDERPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101723.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101342.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010531%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

63.660–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.681730645782508, oldest_gap=8.161791260382806, previous_gap=0.14230823964707895

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.612658877904735,41.93092823212223,0,0,0,1.938631403261009,3.5177814867120296],[43.41824391632276,43.27593567667568,0,0,2.7323182012238507,10.573502205777714,0],[32.30408089563019,40.465872156013,0,2.4196460816179126,7.276995305164319,0,17.533405561574575]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.612658877904735,41.93092823212223,0,0,0,1.938631403261009,3.5177814867120296],[43.41824391632276,43.27593567667568,0,0,2.7323182012238507,10.573502205777714,0],[32.30408089563019,40.465872156013,0,2.4196460816179126,7.276995305164319,0,17.533405561574575]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.612658877904735,41.93092823212223,0,0,0,1.938631403261009,3.5177814867120296],[43.41824391632276,43.27593567667568,0,0,2.7323182012238507,10.573502205777714,0],[32.30408089563019,40.465872156013,0,2.4196460816179126,7.276995305164319,0,17.533405561574575]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN RAFAEL DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-051-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.