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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN PEDRO DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN PEDRO DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-049-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN PEDRO DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-82e388df47287f775795acf8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO50.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.1%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL3.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.3%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.8%
Results for event-68db8cb449f381c6f247bc82
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON INOCENCIO ALVAREZ VERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,25250.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ERASMO ELIEZER AQUINO CACERESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,16942.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · MARCIAL RAMOS ACEVEDOPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214853.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JOSE RUBEN VIGO LUGOCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212812.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · ALICIA BERNAL GAONAPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021990.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO35.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU22.0%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.5%
Results for event-4d1f24c6c02627a330c6a831
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DOMINGO ELIESER CACERES GALEANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,69742.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON INOCENCIO ALVAREZ VERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,88835.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · EVER DANIEL PEDROZO FLEITASFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,43822%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · JOSE MARIA BARBOZA GALARZAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015590.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA8.2%
  • CHE VALLE SAN PEDRO PEGUARA4.8%
Results for event-53f40b8ca6a35df666f57c98
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON INOCENCIO ALVAREZ VERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,19448.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO GALEANO GAUTOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,30738.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · MARCIAL GONZALEZ FIGUEREDOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20107078.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CHE VALLE SAN PEDRO PEGUARA · EMILIO SILVERO ACUÑACVSPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104164.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.460–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.814911281133, oldest_gap=10.285250463821896, previous_gap=7.30012633098719

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[42.07227738889793,50.88718867003093,0,0,0,2.287156112648543,4.753377828422595],[42.38404620104674,35.08391987005955,0,0,0.532394874571377,21.999639054322323,0],[38.34647495361781,48.631725417439704,0,0,0,0,13.021799628942485]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[42.07227738889793,50.88718867003093,0,0,0,2.287156112648543,4.753377828422595],[42.38404620104674,35.08391987005955,0,0,0.532394874571377,21.999639054322323,0],[38.34647495361781,48.631725417439704,0,0,0,0,13.021799628942485]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[42.07227738889793,50.88718867003093,0,0,0,2.287156112648543,4.753377828422595],[42.38404620104674,35.08391987005955,0,0,0.532394874571377,21.999639054322323,0],[38.34647495361781,48.631725417439704,0,0,0,0,13.021799628942485]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN PEDRO DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-049-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.