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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

OBLIGADO / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · OBLIGADO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-041-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
OBLIGADO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-fe3a68cb7dab6d44e491ec3f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO77.5%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR OBLIGADO18.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.7%
Results for event-158272cbbba8dedc74ccd5f1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GIL ANTOLIN AMARILLA PERALTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,55377.5%10Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR OBLIGADO · OSWALDO MARTIN EISENKOLBL CLOSSJPOparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,10618.8%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212173.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO62.4%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA14.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU12.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO10.1%
Results for event-4f7fb807d4a161e62eed86e2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GIL ANTOLIN AMARILLA PERALTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,70562.4%8Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201563614.7%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201555412.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RODOLFO ELVIO SCHNABEL RAATZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201543810.1%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA17.9%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS14.9%
  • OBLIGADO PEGUARA4.4%
Results for event-a18c8062d642a1058c4b5298
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LAURO BECKER DIETZEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,56343.7%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RUBEN HUT DANIELIPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201068519.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201063917.9%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ARMIN PURMANN BERNSTEINUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201053214.9%2Recorded
OBLIGADO PEGUARA · JUAN ACUÑA CABRERAOPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101574.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=58.66235534377127, oldest_gap=24.552572706935123, previous_gap=47.74982690976229

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[77.48468345813478,0,0,0,0,3.6929884275017018,18.82232811436351],[62.42787906762059,10.108469882298639,0,14.678052157858296,0,12.78559889222248,0],[43.70805369127517,19.155480984340045,0,17.869127516778523,14.87695749440716,0,4.390380313199105]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[77.48468345813478,0,0,0,0,3.6929884275017018,18.82232811436351],[62.42787906762059,10.108469882298639,0,14.678052157858296,0,12.78559889222248,0],[43.70805369127517,19.155480984340045,0,17.869127516778523,14.87695749440716,0,4.390380313199105]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[77.48468345813478,0,0,0,0,3.6929884275017018,18.82232811436351],[62.42787906762059,10.108469882298639,0,14.678052157858296,0,12.78559889222248,0],[43.70805369127517,19.155480984340045,0,17.869127516778523,14.87695749440716,0,4.390380313199105]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “OBLIGADO / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-041-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.