Office briefing
NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-039-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-584e292becf756b2d013049e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO53.6%
- ALIANZA NUEVA ALBORADA36.8%
- MOV NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS9.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR ALBINO MARTINEZ RAMIREZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,025 | 53.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA NUEVA ALBORADA · BASILIO PEREIRA GONZALEZ | ANAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,391 | 36.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOV NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS · MARIO ALFONZO RAMIREZ ALCARAZ | MNAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 360 | 9.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOV.POLIT.REGIONAL NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS53.9%
- PARTIDO COLORADO46.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOV.POLIT.REGIONAL NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS · JORGE RUBEN JOHANSSON CUADRA | NVAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,937 | 53.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE AMERICO CABRAL RODRIGUEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,656 | 46.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.3%
- PARTIDO COLORADO33.3%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA13.4%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL12.3%
- MOVIMIENTO ITAPUA POTY5.4%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ORLANDO JAVIER SALINAS GAMARRA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 844 | 34.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · MARIO MERELES SOSA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 820 | 33.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · RAMON MERELES SOSA | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 329 | 13.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · AMANCIO DUETTE BRITO | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 303 | 12.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ITAPUA POTY · IGNACIO OMAR PLANAS IBARRA | MIPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 132 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GERTRUDIS MARGARITA GUERRERO DE LUDOJOSKI | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 34 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI37.410–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.79025423728814, oldest_gap=0.9748172217709197, previous_gap=7.820762593932642
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility7.54percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.628177966101696,0,0,0,0,0,46.371822033898304],[46.08961870303368,0,0,0,0,0,53.91038129696632],[33.30625507717303,34.28107229894395,0,13.363119415109667,1.380991064175467,0,17.66856214459789]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility49.03percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.628177966101696,0,0,0,0,0,46.371822033898304],[46.08961870303368,0,0,0,0,0,53.91038129696632],[33.30625507717303,34.28107229894395,0,13.363119415109667,1.380991064175467,0,17.66856214459789]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility28.28percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.628177966101696,0,0,0,0,0,46.371822033898304],[46.08961870303368,0,0,0,0,0,53.91038129696632],[33.30625507717303,34.28107229894395,0,13.363119415109667,1.380991064175467,0,17.66856214459789]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-039-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.