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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-039-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-dc04a7bb813b12660757c994
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.6%
  • PARTIDO HAGAMOS26.9%
  • ALIANZA NUEVA ALBORADA18.9%
  • MOV NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS9.6%
Results for event-5624646a805600d2c94985a4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR ALBINO MARTINEZ RAMIREZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,68144.6%4Recorded
PARTIDO HAGAMOSPPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,01326.9%2Recorded
ALIANZA NUEVA ALBORADA · BASILIO PEREIRA GONZALEZANAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202171318.9%2Recorded
MOV NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS · MARIO ALFONZO RAMIREZ ALCARAZMNAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213639.6%1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOV.POLIT.REGIONAL NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS52.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.5%
Results for event-2da680129168344e55369cb7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOV.POLIT.REGIONAL NUEVA ALBORADA PARA TODOS · JORGE RUBEN JOHANSSON CUADRANVAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,90052.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE AMERICO CABRAL RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,71947.5%6Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO35.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL11.6%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA11.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ITAPUA POTY5.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.0%
Results for event-8f64ea0e806ef1641433c583
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MARIO MERELES SOSAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201086435.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ORLANDO JAVIER SALINAS GAMARRAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201082534%5Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · AMANCIO DUETTE BRITOM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/201028111.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · RAMON MERELES SOSAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201026611%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ITAPUA POTY · IGNACIO OMAR PLANAS IBARRAMIPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101395.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GERTRUDIS MARGARITA GUERRERO DE LUDOJOSKIUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010492%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

38.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.718832891246684, oldest_gap=1.60891089108911, previous_gap=5.001381597126283

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[44.58885941644562,0,0,0,0,0,55.41114058355438],[47.49930920143686,0,0,0,0,0,52.50069079856314],[35.64356435643565,34.03465346534654,0,10.973597359735974,2.0214521452145213,0,17.326732673267326]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[44.58885941644562,0,0,0,0,0,55.41114058355438],[47.49930920143686,0,0,0,0,0,52.50069079856314],[35.64356435643565,34.03465346534654,0,10.973597359735974,2.0214521452145213,0,17.326732673267326]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[44.58885941644562,0,0,0,0,0,55.41114058355438],[47.49930920143686,0,0,0,0,0,52.50069079856314],[35.64356435643565,34.03465346534654,0,10.973597359735974,2.0214521452145213,0,17.326732673267326]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “NUEVA ALBORADA / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-039-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.