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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-035-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-90d89ce35d7bfdf5054f5561
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA TODOS POR OTAÑO53.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.0%
Results for event-6600734cb47b8d3eb6aeae77
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA TODOS POR OTAÑO · LEONARDO SALVADOR MORINIGO GONZALEZTXOparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,86453%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO CHAVEZ RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,42247%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO28.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU12.5%
Results for event-d2043da0c563380e9020c82e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO CHAVEZ RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,06558.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARLOS ANTONIO LOVERA PALACIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,51028.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HERMENEGILDO ACEVEDO GAMARRAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201565412.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO39.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.0%
Results for event-fb6bc3a79a7cb2afb308d315
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARMEN ESTER ROMAN PORTILLOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,51358.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARLOS ANTONIO LOVERA PALACIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,70439.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · SEBASTIAN FLEITAS AGUIRREUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010831.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JULIO CESAR CABRERA VIGOM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/201010%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

27.790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.066428767499318, oldest_gap=18.809579167635434, previous_gap=29.73799961751769

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[46.96678561625034,0,0,0,0,0,53.03321438374966],[58.615414037100784,28.877414419583094,0,0,0,12.507171543316122,0],[58.428272494768656,39.61869332713322,0,0,1.9297837712159962,0,0.023250406882120437]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[46.96678561625034,0,0,0,0,0,53.03321438374966],[58.615414037100784,28.877414419583094,0,0,0,12.507171543316122,0],[58.428272494768656,39.61869332713322,0,0,1.9297837712159962,0,0.023250406882120437]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[46.96678561625034,0,0,0,0,0,53.03321438374966],[58.615414037100784,28.877414419583094,0,0,0,12.507171543316122,0],[58.428272494768656,39.61869332713322,0,0,1.9297837712159962,0,0.023250406882120437]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-035-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.