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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-035-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-843af5aae8561994e284d8ef
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.9%
  • ALIANZA TODOS POR OTAÑO44.8%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.4%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.4%
Results for event-63100cc7e8d0cb90b200d989
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO CHAVEZ RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,57848.9%6Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS POR OTAÑO · LEONARDO SALVADOR MORINIGO GONZALEZTXOparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,27844.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212513.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211091.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211021.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO56.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO27.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU11.5%
  • PARTIDO UNACE4.6%
Results for event-22b8452c3fbe611f36048f32
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO CHAVEZ RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,88656.5%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARLOS ANTONIO LOVERA PALACIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,40427.5%3Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HERMENEGILDO ACEVEDO GAMARRAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201558711.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152344.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO38.5%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA12.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.1%
Results for event-e60e4c3eb6f5210c7527bfef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARMEN ESTER ROMAN PORTILLOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,76543.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CARLOS ANTONIO LOVERA PALACIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,56038.5%5Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201051412.7%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · SEBASTIAN FLEITAS AGUIRREUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102115.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JULIO CESAR CABRERA VIGOM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/201040.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

41.680–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.099480732440554, oldest_gap=5.0567340897878665, previous_gap=28.99628252788104

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.89314020224105,0,0,0,3.4298988794752665,1.3938234490297896,46.2831374692539],[56.46644492271571,27.47016239483467,0,0,4.578360399139112,11.485032283310506,0],[43.53724716329551,38.480513073507645,0,0,5.204736063147509,0,12.777503700049335]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.89314020224105,0,0,0,3.4298988794752665,1.3938234490297896,46.2831374692539],[56.46644492271571,27.47016239483467,0,0,4.578360399139112,11.485032283310506,0],[43.53724716329551,38.480513073507645,0,0,5.204736063147509,0,12.777503700049335]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.89314020224105,0,0,0,3.4298988794752665,1.3938234490297896,46.2831374692539],[56.46644492271571,27.47016239483467,0,0,4.578360399139112,11.485032283310506,0],[43.53724716329551,38.480513073507645,0,0,5.204736063147509,0,12.777503700049335]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MAYOR OTAÑO / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-035-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.