Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA PAZ / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · LA PAZ / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-033-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA PAZ / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-725dbec45edef2bcdb717e3e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO74.4%
  • ALIANZA LA PAZ25.6%
Results for event-981434fedf4eb589e283d515
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · BLANCA MERCEDES CHAVEZ VALLEJOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,16874.4%7Recorded
ALIANZA LA PAZALPparaguay/S82789e1ede/202140125.6%2Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO76.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.9%
Results for event-e2c76950dff9db48d91b6a4a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · BLANCA MERCEDES CHAVEZ VALLEJOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,12276.1%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LAURO SCHMIDTKE STEIMBERGERPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201535223.9%2Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.9%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.2%
Results for event-c337e1932836dbeff574312e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · YUZURU MIYASATOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201063954.9%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN DE LA CRUZ DURE GALEANOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201048741.9%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CRISPIN CARMELO JACQUETUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010373.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=48.884639898024226, oldest_gap=13.069647463456576, previous_gap=52.23880597014926

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[74.44231994901212,0,0,0,0,0,25.55768005098789],[76.11940298507463,23.880597014925375,0,0,0,0,0],[54.94411006018917,41.87446259673259,0,0,3.181427343078246,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[74.44231994901212,0,0,0,0,0,25.55768005098789],[76.11940298507463,23.880597014925375,0,0,0,0,0],[54.94411006018917,41.87446259673259,0,0,3.181427343078246,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[74.44231994901212,0,0,0,0,0,25.55768005098789],[76.11940298507463,23.880597014925375,0,0,0,0,0],[54.94411006018917,41.87446259673259,0,0,3.181427343078246,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA PAZ / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-033-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.