Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JESUS / ITAPUA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · JESUS / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-029-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JESUS / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-19cebbcea7ca30ce0fc3594e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO79.4%
  • ALIANZA POR JESUS10.3%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR4.8%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL3.2%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.4%
Results for event-e14810dd9c3f7b82d9f0ecc3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR BERNARDO GARAY OLMEDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,40379.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR JESUS · MARIO RUBEN FERREIRA ALEGREATJparaguay/S82789e1ede/202131110.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR · NORMA GRACIELA CANDODO MARTINEZPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211444.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN IRALAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021973.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JUAN OBREGON BRITEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021732.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO55.1%
  • PARTIDO UNACE42.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO2.5%
Results for event-4f65c1da00fc32116902b376
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERNAN ADOLAR SCHLENDER BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,64755.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ARMINDO GATZKE SCHMIDKEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,26742.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NORMA GRACIELA CANDODO MARTINEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015762.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.7%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO31.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.3%
Results for event-6469f5339c42c1405b422fd6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERNAN ADOLAR SCHLENDER BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,20248.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO · CARLOS RODME AYALA GODOYPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/201078131.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN RIGOBERTO GONZALEZ ROTELAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201047719.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ALFONSO TUCHOLKE DIETZEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201080.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=69.0885072655218, oldest_gap=17.05834683954619, previous_gap=12.709030100334445

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[79.35931307793923,0,3.2034346103038307,0,2.4108322324966975,0,15.026420079260237],[55.08361204013378,2.5418060200668897,0,0,42.374581939799334,0,0],[48.703403565640194,19.32739059967585,0,0,0.3241491085899514,0,31.645056726094005]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[79.35931307793923,0,3.2034346103038307,0,2.4108322324966975,0,15.026420079260237],[55.08361204013378,2.5418060200668897,0,0,42.374581939799334,0,0],[48.703403565640194,19.32739059967585,0,0,0.3241491085899514,0,31.645056726094005]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[79.35931307793923,0,3.2034346103038307,0,2.4108322324966975,0,15.026420079260237],[55.08361204013378,2.5418060200668897,0,0,42.374581939799334,0,0],[48.703403565640194,19.32739059967585,0,0,0.3241491085899514,0,31.645056726094005]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “JESUS / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-029-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.