Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JESUS / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · JESUS / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-029-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JESUS / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-485cd09af1cf6708733e62f6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO67.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO14.0%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO7.0%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL5.7%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.8%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR2.6%
  • PARTIDO DE LA A1.0%
Results for event-04f616a7e37eadf7fb19eaaf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR BERNARDO GARAY OLMEDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,08667%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202143714%1Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIOPFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212197%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN IRALAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211775.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JUAN OBREGON BRITEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021862.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR · NORMA GRACIELA CANDODO MARTINEZPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021802.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA APDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021301%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.8%
  • PARTIDO UNACE20.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU19.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO16.7%
Results for event-451848e7711c646782bc207c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERNAN ADOLAR SCHLENDER BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,23443.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ARMINDO GATZKE SCHMIDKEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201556420%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201554819.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NORMA GRACIELA CANDODO MARTINEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201547116.7%2Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.2%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO26.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS15.4%
Results for event-99bf8d1548e088d4442b8670
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERNAN ADOLAR SCHLENDER BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201092038.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO · CARLOS RODME AYALA GODOYPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/201064326.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN RIGOBERTO GONZALEZ ROTELAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201047519.7%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ALFONSO TUCHOLKE DIETZEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201037015.4%2Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=52.93739967897272, oldest_gap=11.503322259136215, previous_gap=23.784167554135607

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[66.96629213483146,14.028892455858747,5.682182985553772,0,2.7608346709470304,0,10.561797752808989],[43.8054668086617,16.719914802981897,0,0,20.02129925452609,19.453319133830316,0],[38.205980066445186,19.725913621262457,0,0,15.365448504983389,0,26.70265780730897]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[66.96629213483146,14.028892455858747,5.682182985553772,0,2.7608346709470304,0,10.561797752808989],[43.8054668086617,16.719914802981897,0,0,20.02129925452609,19.453319133830316,0],[38.205980066445186,19.725913621262457,0,0,15.365448504983389,0,26.70265780730897]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[66.96629213483146,14.028892455858747,5.682182985553772,0,2.7608346709470304,0,10.561797752808989],[43.8054668086617,16.719914802981897,0,0,20.02129925452609,19.453319133830316,0],[38.205980066445186,19.725913621262457,0,0,15.365448504983389,0,26.70265780730897]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “JESUS / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-029-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.