Office briefing
CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-013-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8be5aa727e7fae27f4bb5c89
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO48.6%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL46.8%
- MOV CARMEÑOS UNIDOS4.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN GUSTAVO GNEITING RODRIGUEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,817 | 48.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JORGE LUIS COLLANTE BOGADO | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,750 | 46.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOV CARMEÑOS UNIDOS · PABLO BORDON GONZALEZ | MCUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 169 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO76.5%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN ALFREDO GNEITING DICHTIAR | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,234 | 76.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ARNALDO ANDRES DOMINGUEZ REYES | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 688 | 23.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO55.2%
- DESPERTAR CARMEÑO29.4%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL8.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO6.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN ALFREDO GNEITING DICHTIAR | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,535 | 55.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| DESPERTAR CARMEÑO · DIEGO ALVARO GONZALEZ CENTURION | DCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 818 | 29.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN CARLOS MALINOWSKI IBASIUTEN | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 245 | 8.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · VICTOR RAMON ACOSTA AMARILLA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 182 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI2.360–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.7933618843683092, oldest_gap=25.791366906474817, previous_gap=52.90896646132785
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility51.37percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.63490364025696,0,46.84154175588865,0,0,0,4.5235546038543895],[76.45448323066393,23.54551676933607,0,0,0,0,0],[55.21582733812949,6.546762589928058,8.81294964028777,0,0,0,29.424460431654676]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility38.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.63490364025696,0,46.84154175588865,0,0,0,4.5235546038543895],[76.45448323066393,23.54551676933607,0,0,0,0,0],[55.21582733812949,6.546762589928058,8.81294964028777,0,0,0,29.424460431654676]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility44.8percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.63490364025696,0,46.84154175588865,0,0,0,4.5235546038543895],[76.45448323066393,23.54551676933607,0,0,0,0,0],[55.21582733812949,6.546762589928058,8.81294964028777,0,0,0,29.424460431654676]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-013-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.