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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-013-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-954fed3e0f11d4861a5dae37
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.7%
  • ALIANZA CARMEN PARA TODOS31.9%
  • MOV CARMEÑOS UNIDOS13.5%
Results for event-5e594bbd6c0f49fc475a8d6e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN GUSTAVO GNEITING RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,03654.7%7Recorded
ALIANZA CARMEN PARA TODOSACTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,18731.9%4Recorded
MOV CARMEÑOS UNIDOS · PABLO BORDON GONZALEZMCUparaguay/S82789e1ede/202150213.5%1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO66.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE13.5%
Results for event-036c85ce57d3764fa8697849
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN ALFREDO GNEITING DICHTIARANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,92366.9%9Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ARNALDO ANDRES DOMINGUEZ REYESPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201556319.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201538813.5%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.3%
  • DESPERTAR CARMEÑO14.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS13.1%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL10.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO7.8%
Results for event-241556737f89dde9d64a0d31
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN ALFREDO GNEITING DICHTIARANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,46254.3%7Recorded
DESPERTAR CARMEÑO · DIEGO ALVARO GONZALEZ CENTURIONDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/201039014.5%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201035213.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN CARLOS MALINOWSKI IBASIUTENPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/201027910.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · VICTOR RAMON ACOSTA AMARILLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102107.8%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.79194630872483, oldest_gap=39.80690679539547, previous_gap=47.32080723729993

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.65771812080537,0,0,0,0,0,45.34228187919463],[66.91022964509395,19.589422407794014,0,0,13.500347947112038,0,0],[54.28889714073524,7.797994801336799,10.360193093204604,0,13.070924619383588,0,14.481990345339769]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.65771812080537,0,0,0,0,0,45.34228187919463],[66.91022964509395,19.589422407794014,0,0,13.500347947112038,0,0],[54.28889714073524,7.797994801336799,10.360193093204604,0,13.070924619383588,0,14.481990345339769]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.65771812080537,0,0,0,0,0,45.34228187919463],[66.91022964509395,19.589422407794014,0,0,13.500347947112038,0,0],[54.28889714073524,7.797994801336799,10.360193093204604,0,13.070924619383588,0,14.481990345339769]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CARMEN DEL PARANA / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-013-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.